Friday, May 27, 2011

Memorial Day for Servants of God

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Memorial Day for Servants of God


A commentary by Jerold Aust





God remembers His faithful and fallen servants. In Hebrews 11 we find a list of some of the true heroes of faith.



A grieving mother expresses her pain for the loss of her son who died in Iraq in July 2007. From usatoday.com, here are her words:



"It has been three months today that you have been laid to rest. The pain still persists and has not eased one bit ... I have cried and cried until my eyes have dried.



"But because of our loving God and the Grace he provides us, I am able to get out of bed and care for your brothers. I am able, by his Grace, to lift my head high and be PROUD of my son, Dane, for he IS a HERO in the minds and hearts of so many.



"Love, Mom"



Memorial Day in America

America has just observed another Memorial Day to commemorate its fallen servicemen. This custom began following the Civil War when families in local communities gathered to honor those who had lost their lives in that struggle.



Congressman John A. Logan, a retired general, was exceptionally instrumental in officially instituting Memorial Day on May 5, 1868 as a time for the entire nation to honor its fallen soldiers.



A Book of Remembrance

God also remembers His faithful and fallen servants. In Hebrews 11 we find a list of some of the true heroes of faith. They include some of His outstanding servants from the time of Abel to Enoch and from Noah to the time of Abraham and Sarah. Tribute to Isaac, Jacob, Joseph and Moses is also given (verses 4-11, 20-26).



Unable to list every biblical hero, the author of Hebrews comments: "And what more shall I say? For the time would fail me to tell of Gideon and Barak and Samson and Jephthah, also of David and Samuel and the prophets ..." (verse 32).



God also memorializes all of His faithful servants with a special book of remembrance. "Then those who feared the Lord spoke to one another, and the Lord listened and heard them; so a book of remembrance was written before Him for those who fear the Lord and who meditate on His name" (Malachi:3:16Then they that feared the LORD spake often one to another: and the LORD hearkened, and heard it, and a book of remembrance was written before him for them that feared the LORD, and that thought upon his name.).



The hope of the dead

Yes, God never forgets His faithful servants (Luke:12:4-7[4]And I say unto you my friends, Be not afraid of them that kill the body, and after that have no more that they can do.[5]But I will forewarn you whom ye shall fear: Fear him, which after he hath killed hath power to cast into hell; yea, I say unto you, Fear him.[6]Are not five sparrows sold for two farthings, and not one of them is forgotten before God?[7]But even the very hairs of your head are all numbered. Fear not therefore: ye are of more value than many sparrows.). He never forsakes them (1 Samuel:12:22For the LORD will not forsake his people for his great name's sake: because it hath pleased the LORD to make you his people.). He knows those who are His (2 Timothy:2:19Nevertheless the foundation of God standeth sure, having this seal, The Lord knoweth them that are his. And, Let every one that nameth the name of Christ depart from iniquity.). He views them as the apple of His eye (Zechariah:2:8For thus saith the LORD of hosts; After the glory hath he sent me unto the nations which spoiled you: for he that toucheth you toucheth the apple of his eye.).



He also shows that the present world is not worthy of the ultimate sacrifice made by so many of His faithful servants (Hebrews:11:38(Of whom the world was not worthy:) they wandered in deserts, and in mountains, and in dens and caves of the earth.). Were it not for their faithfulness we are told that no flesh would saved alive at the end of the great tribulation (Matthew:24:22And except those days should be shortened, there should no flesh be saved: but for the elect's sake those days shall be shortened.).



Yet Jesus said, "Truly, truly, I say to you, an hour is coming and now is, when the dead shall hear the voice of the Son of God; and those who hear shall live ... Do not marvel at this; for an hour is coming, in which all who are in the tombs shall hear His voice, and shall come forth; those who did the good deeds to a resurrection of life, those who committed the evil deeds to a resurrection of judgment" (John:5:25-29[25]Verily, verily, I say unto you, The hour is coming, and now is, when the dead shall hear the voice of the Son of God: and they that hear shall live.[26]For as the Father hath life in himself; so hath he given to the Son to have life in himself;[27]And hath given him authority to execute judgment also, because he is the Son of man.[28]Marvel not at this: for the hour is coming, in the which all that are in the graves shall hear his voice,[29]And shall come forth; they that have done good, unto the resurrection of life; and they that have done evil, unto the resurrection of damnation., New American Standard Bible).



Spiritual warfare

All Christians have battles to fight. The apostle Paul explains the purpose of that spiritual warfare.



"For though we live in the world, we do not wage war as the world does. The weapons we fight with are not the weapons of the world. On the contrary, they have divine power to demolish strongholds. We demolish arguments and every pretension that sets itself up against the knowledge of God, and we take captive every thought to make it obedient to Christ" (2 Corinthians:10:3-5[3]For though we walk in the flesh, we do not war after the flesh:[4](For the weapons of our warfare are not carnal, but mighty through God to the pulling down of strong holds;)[5]Casting down imaginations, and every high thing that exalteth itself against the knowledge of God, and bringing into captivity every thought to the obedience of Christ;, New Revised Standard Version).



Dedicated Christians are told: "Put on the whole armor of God, that you may be able to stand against the wiles of the devil. For we do not wrestle against flesh and blood, but ... against spiritual hosts of wickedness in the heavenly places" (Ephesians:6:11-12[11]Put on the whole armour of God, that ye may be able to stand against the wiles of the devil.[12]For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities, against powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world, against spiritual wickedness in high places.).



Where are the trumpets, the bands, the readings, the speeches and the fanfare for those who gave their lives in the service of God? Even though at the present time there may be no special ceremonies to honor them they will never be forgotten by God.



A mother's grief turned to joy

This commentary began with a mother's sorrow for her fallen son. The Scriptures assure us that she and her son will one day be reunited; and their reunion will be joyous.

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Thursday, May 26, 2011

What Have We Learned?

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.

What Have We Learned?


A commentary by Darris McNeely



This weekend marks the 60th anniversary of the Normandy landings by Allied troops. Leaders from the United States, France and Britain, and, for the first time, Germany, will gather to commemorate one of the most important events of the 20th century.



I have a ritual every year on Memorial Day. I pop into my VCR an animated Peanuts special entitled, "What Have We Learned, Charlie Brown"? It's a program that takes the beloved Peanuts characters through a tour of famous European battlegrounds. Their tour includes a visit to Flanders Field from World War I where, according to the poem, "the poppies blow, between the crosses row on row."



The words of this haunting poem continue, "We are the Dead. Short days ago we lived, felt dawn, saw sunset glow, loved and were loved, and now we lie in Flanders fields."



Sadly, mankind did not learn the lesson from this "War to End All Wars." Only 21 years later, the world plunged into another global war. The Peanuts characters move on to the scene of another great battle of that conflict—Normandy, where allied troops stormed the French beaches to begin the liberation of Europe from Nazi control.



As the camera looks over the calm white beaches and rocky cliffs, scenes from the invasion are superimposed. The characters visit the American cemetery where thousands of young soldiers are buried. This plot of land was permanently deeded to America by the French government. As the characters walk among the graves, the words of Dwight Eisenhower, who commanded the allied forces that June morning, serve as a fitting testimony to the action.



Eisenhower had returned to Normandy 20 years after the invasion and recorded a documentary for American television. He said: "Many thousands of men came here to storm these beaches for one purpose only. Not to gain anything. Not to fulfill any ambitions that America had for conquest. But just to preserve freedom, systems of self-government. Many thousands of men have died for ideals such as these. In the 20th century, for the second time, America, along with the rest of the free world, had to come across the ocean to defend those same values.



"But these young boys . . . over whose graves we have been treading . . . contemplating their sacrifices . . . They never knew the great experiences of going through life. I devoutly hope that we never again have to see scenes as these. I pray, think, hope that humanity will have learned more than we learned up to that time. We must find some way to work for peace and . . . gain an eternal peace."



This weekend marks the 60th anniversary of the Normandy landings by Allied troops. Leaders from the United States, France and Britain, and, for the first time, Germany, will gather to commemorate one of the most important events of the 20th century. It is likely to be the last big commemoration of this event. Thousands of World War II veterans, called by some "the greatest generation," die each week. In a few short years their voices will be silenced.



My father landed in the first wave on Omaha Beach as a combat engineer. He survived while many of his buddies died on the beach. One of his friends, from his hometown, was shot in the legs and carried onto the beach by my father. Years later I would hear him say that he did not wish to see any young man have to go through the experience of war as he did. For this veteran, war was a life-altering experience. It was one he would have rather not gone through.



What have we learned? Not enough to bring peace among nations. Wars and conflicts continue to create new graves with the same echoes of unrealized hope.



We continue to look and wait with hope for the time when Jesus Christ will restore a government of peace upon the earth as described by the prophet Isaiah. It is his thoughts found in Isaiah:2:4And he shall judge among the nations, and shall rebuke many people: and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more. that offer us a different future. Those words state, ". . . Nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war anymore."



To better understand the hopeful future Jesus Christ and the Bible reveal, request or download your free copy of The Gospel of the Kingdom.

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Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Jerusalem's Deep Divide

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.



A commentary by Darris McNeely






If you go to Jerusalem as a tourist today, you can visit the Western Wall, the Temple Mount and other sites throughout the city virtually unencumbered.



Overshadowed by the passage of a health care bill this week was the growing rift between the United States and the state of Israel over plans to continue building additional housing in portions of Jerusalem long contested between the Israelis and Arabs.



The problems erupted a couple of weeks ago while Vice President Joe Biden was in Israel at the same time the planned expansion was announced. This created an embarrassing furor. This week Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was in Washington and held more than three hours of private talks on Tuesday with President Obama.



At issue is not only this planned housing expansion, but also the special alliance between the two countries. America has been Israel's biggest supporter, something that takes its toll on American relations in the Arab world. Israel will push ahead with its housing plans, but it cannot afford to lose America's support.



I have been watching this carefully. In recent trips to Israel I have clearly seen the growth of the city and the new housing springing up in disputed neighborhoods. I have a personal interest because I spent a summer living in one of the Arab neighborhoods of east Jerusalem, which is now the focus of this expansion. In the Sheik Jarrah section sits the now abandoned Shepherd Hotel where, in 1971, I lived while working on an archaeological dig. The building is slated to be torn down and a 20-unit apartment complex is due to be built by a wealthy Jew from New York.



Since 1967 Jerusalem has been a unified city under Israeli control. During the period it has gone through unprecedented growth while being the focus of religious and ethnic strife. It is the capital of Israel while Palestinians want part of the city to form the capital of their independent state. It is an impenetrable conflict that threatens the stability of the region, which is always on the verge of a wider conflict. What began as a conflict between two peoples has become a clash of civilizations.



Regardless of how one falls in the arguments between Palestinians and Israelis, and I have personally heard the stories of both Palestinian refugees and Israeli settlers, there is the undeniable fact that since 1967 all major faiths have had access to the religious and historical shrines of the city. If you go to Jerusalem as a tourist today, you can visit the Western Wall, the Temple Mount and other sites throughout the city virtually unencumbered. You could not do this before 1967. It is now an open city. But it is also a city of dispute and contention because of the politics and religious tension.



Jerusalem today is far from being the "City of Truth" (Zechariah:8:3Thus saith the LORD; I am returned unto Zion, and will dwell in the midst of Jerusalem: and Jerusalem shall be called a city of truth; and the mountain of the LORD of hosts the holy mountain.). It is still a "heavy stone" before the nations (Zechariah:12:3And in that day will I make Jerusalem a burdensome stone for all people: all that burden themselves with it shall be cut in pieces, though all the people of the earth be gathered together against it.). It is a city I love to visit and one in which I feel safe and quite comfortable. Jerusalem gets in your blood and excites the senses. It takes nothing more than a walk through the narrow streets of the Old City or across its sprawling hills to see why it has been a magnet through the centuries for pilgrims and prophets and all who seek to understand God's will on earth.



Jewish tradition calls Jerusalem the center of the world. One day it will indeed be the center of a world at peace under the reign of Jesus Christ the Messiah. All nations will stream to it to learn of God's eternal way of truth (Isaiah:2:3And many people shall go and say, Come ye, and let us go up to the mountain of the LORD, to the house of the God of Jacob; and he will teach us of his ways, and we will walk in his paths: for out of Zion shall go forth the law, and the word of the LORD from Jerusalem.).



God speed the day when Jerusalem truly becomes the City of Peace.



Keep watching!

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Monday, May 23, 2011

World News and Trends: Stubborn problems afflict America

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632

World News and Trends: Stubborn problems afflict America


article by Jerold Aust, John Ross Schroeder





On the surface, March was a very good month for the ambitions of President Barack Obama. First the health-care legislation he called for passed the U.S. Congress, and shortly afterwards a deal to reduce nuclear arsenals was concluded with Russia.



On the surface, March was a very good month for the ambitions of President Barack Obama. First the health-care legislation he called for passed the U.S. Congress, and shortly afterwards a deal to reduce nuclear arsenals was concluded with Russia.



But will cuts in military spending even begin to pay for the enormous costs of his health-care legislation? Will America ultimately have to trim its defenses much more to deal with its incredibly high national debt? Is Washington still on a slippery slope when it comes to lowering its debt level to a reasonable amount?



Bronwen Maddox, chief foreign commentator for The Times of London, summed up the American debt conundrum: "To cut a budget deficit that reached a record of $1.4 trillion in 2009, defence is an obvious target. The share of costs going to military personnel is rising—and that will squeeze the amount free for new equipment. It inevitably undermines any willingness even to contemplate new wars" ("America Counts the Cost of Going to War," The Times, March 29, 2010).



As if to underline a determination to pull back on American military power, on April 6 President Obama announced a dramatic change in U.S. policy, allowing U.S. nuclear retaliation only if America were attacked with nuclear weapons. His new policy forbids U.S. forces from using nuclear weapons to retaliate against non nuclear countries even if the country were to be hit with biological or chemical weapons or crippling cyberattack. At the same time he announced that America would not develop any new nuclear weapons.



On another front, an international report strongly indicates that American educational standards are slipping. Said New York Times correspondent Sam Dillon: "One of the world's foremost experts on comparing national systems has told members of the U.S. Congress that many other countries are surpassing the United States in educational attainment, including Canada, where he said 15-year-old students were, on average, more than one school year ahead of American 15-year olds" ("Many Countries Pass US on Education, Global Experts Say," International Herald Tribune, March 11, 2010).



The enormous educational advantage the United States had over other nations after World War II has evaporated with time. Andreas Schleicher, a senior education officer at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), stated, "Among OECD countries, only New Zealand, Spain, Turkey and Mexico now have lower high school completion rates than the U.S." (ibid.).



Foreign policy is another area of serious concern. Jay Solomon and Peter Spiegel focused on some of America's diplomatic difficulties in a Wall Street Journal article written from Moscow. They pointed out that "leaders from Brasilia to Beijing sling arrows at the Obama administration ..."



They also stated that "a string of public rebukes of U.S. foreign policy in recent weeks, from Jerusalem to Red Square, is highlighting how the global goodwill U.S. President Barack Obama enjoyed on taking office last year has often failed to translate into foreign-policy wins ...



"White House diplomatic initiatives aimed at wooing adversaries such as Iran, Syria, and North Korea into renouncing their weapons systems and support of terrorism are also showing little signs of progress" ("Nations Decline to Follow U.S.'s Lead," March 22, 2010). (Sources: The Times [London], The Wall Street Journal, International Herald Tribune.)

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Friday, May 20, 2011

In Brief: Global Political Trends Threaten America's World Leadership

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In Brief: Global Political Trends Threaten America's World Leadership


by Fred Nance and John Ross Schroeder

Americans appear to be very edgy these days. According to a Gallup Poll sponsored by USA Today, "Almost three-fourths of them...don't like the way things are going in the country. Given economic deprivation and political division, plus war [and] terrorism..., who would?" (Jan. 6, 2010).



Gideon Rachman, a regular columnist for the Financial Times, provides us with some specifics. "Ever since 1945, the US has regarded itself as the leader of the 'free world.' But the Obama administration is facing an unexpected and unwelcome development in global politics. Four of the biggest and most strategically important democracies in the developing world—Brazil, India, South Africa and Turkey—are increasingly at odds with American foreign policy.



"Rather than siding with the US on the big international issues, they are just as likely to line up with authoritarian powers" ("America Is Losing the Free World," Jan. 5, 2010, emphasis added throughout).



For a short time following the collapse of the Berlin Wall in late 1989, the previous bipolar world of the United States and the Soviet Union became the undisputed unipolar world of an economically and militarily unchallenged America.



This didn't last long. British journalist Bryan Appleyard observed in The Sunday Times Magazine: "Japan, having grown rich since 1945 under the umbrella of American security..., began to look to China for its trading future. And auto-cratic regimes are realising they may not have to listen to Western lectures about human rights any more. They can turn to the pragmatic Chinese" ("The Gathering Clouds," Dec. 27, 2009).



During the past 100 years, the United States has been accorded a singular opportunity to provide leadership in the world at large. Now, American influence is rapidly beginning to wane in the world. Why?



One pivotal reason, often discounted by a largely secular media, involves our disappearing moral standards. Paradoxically this most prosperous of the nations also ranks among the most immoral. Larger numbers of Americans increasingly ignore the plain teachings of the Bible—casting aside the Ten Commandments as a basic moral code and guide to our national conduct.



The essence of the whole American story—historically, morally and prophetically bound up in its legacy as one of the major modern descendants of the biblical patriarch Joseph—remains relatively unknown to the general public. To understand the implications of this intriguing truth, read our booklet The United States and Britain in Bible Prophecy. WNP

Thursday, May 19, 2011

May 21 Judgment Day?

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May 21 Judgment Day?


A commentary by Michael Snyder




Many individuals, past and present, have made false and misleading claims about the end times. Harold Camping is the most recent of these. While such people feel like they are doing the work of God, in reality they are producing skepticism and a lack of faith when their prophecies fail. We must treat God's Word with respect and care when teaching about prophecy.





"Judgment Day" billboard near Cincinnati, Ohio.

Source: Aaron BoothIn recent weeks a considerable amount of media attention has centered on the assertions of Harold Camping, an 89-year-old minister who believes that the world will experience a kind of "judgment day," beginning on May 21, 2011. Camping, who is a founder of a California-based media network called Family Radio, bases his assertions on his personal understanding of the Bible.



History shows that many, many people have developed personal interpretations of certain passages from the Bible, leading them to believe that Jesus Christ would return or other events of divine origin would take place over the past centuries. To date, none of these personal interpretations have come to pass as predicted.



We must handle prophecy carefully

The United Church of God recognizes that a considerable portion of the Bible is devoted to prophetic teachings, specifically including a recognizable sequence of events that will presage the return of Jesus Christ. Jesus will return to set up the literal world-encircling Kingdom of God, which Jesus Himself declared through many biblical passages. The United Church of God also holds true to what Jesus Himself firmly stated regarding when these events would take place. As He told His disciples: "It is not for you to know times or seasons which the Father has put in His own authority" (Acts:1:7And he said unto them, It is not for you to know the times or the seasons, which the Father hath put in his own power., emphasis added throughout). This reflects what Jesus had told His disciples earlier, preserved in what is known as the Olivet Prophecy. Concerning the time when God will intervene in human affairs, Jesus was very specific: "But of that day and hour no one knows, no, not even the angels of heaven, but My Father only" (Matthew:24:36But of that day and hour knoweth no man, no, not the angels of heaven, but my Father only.). Christ urges His followers to always be prepared, "for the Son of Man is coming at an hour you do not expect" (Matthew:24:44Therefore be ye also ready: for in such an hour as ye think not the Son of man cometh.).



False prophets don't properly handle God's Word

As students and scholars of the Bible know, both the Old and New Testaments show that God Himself has a plan for all of humanity, and it is God's will that all should be given the opportunity for salvation. Neither God nor Jesus espouses "universal destruction" in biblical accounts. Instead, many biblical accounts point to an incredible future time when peace and prosperity will engulf the earth under the benevolent and loving reign of Jesus Christ as "King of kings" in the literal Kingdom of God.



The Bible does speak of a time ahead in this human age when chaos will erupt, leading up to the time when Jesus Christ will Himself return to cut short devastating global turmoil (Matthew:24:22And except those days should be shortened, there should no flesh be saved: but for the elect's sake those days shall be shortened.). Unfortunately, when some people ignore the teachings of Jesus that no man or woman can know the specific hour or day of prophetic events, the magnitude and importance of these prophetic teachings can seem a bit diminished. When the events don't happen as some predict, the credibility of God's message may be temporarily affected. That is indeed unfortunate, as they will come to pass, and—as Jesus plainly stated—at a time when many will not expect. They will be caught off-guard.



The Church's responsibility

Thus the United Church of God recognizes that it is the duty of the Church to openly teach and proclaim these true prophetic messages. It is the responsibility of the Church to do so in a way that people gain real understanding—that these prophetic events will come to pass as a result of humanity's wholesale disobedience to God's way of life, as revealed in the Law of God and the teachings of the Bible. God and Jesus are very plainspoken in biblical accounts: If you obey God, keep His commandments and do them, then you are promised many good things, both in this life and in the life to come. That is why God declared first to the ancient Israelites and today to us: "I call heaven and earth as witnesses today against you, that I have set before you life and death, blessing and cursing; therefore choose life" (Deuteronomy:30:19I call heaven and earth to record this day against you, that I have set before you life and death, blessing and cursing: therefore choose life, that both thou and thy seed may live:).



Sadly, unlike what has presently attracted much attention, May 21, 2011, is not the prophesied "Judgment Day." That day will come, but in a completely different manner and for a completely different reason. God is a God of love, and as Jesus noted, it is His good pleasure to give us the Kingdom of God (Luke:12:32Fear not, little flock; for it is your Father's good pleasure to give you the kingdom.), a time of peace and plenty without end.



For more information, you are invited to review these short topical summaries published by the United Church of God: "Are We Living in the Time of the End?" "God's Holy Day Plan: The Promise of Hope for All Mankind" and "Does the Bible Teach 'A Secret Rapture'?"

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Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Where Are China and India Really Headed?

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.

Where Are China and India Really Headed?


Western foreign policy increasingly has to take the Asian nations into account. As one astute observer recently put it, "The center of geostrategic gravity has shifted eastwards." So an important question lies before us: Is another Eastern axis power going to emerge on the world scene and dominate all of Asia just as Japan did during the Second World War?

by John Ross Schroeder

China is no longer an isolated power, and India has recently emerged as a world economic force to be reckoned with. Some financial experts believe that China could overtake America economically in another 25 years and India will be number three, just behind the United States .



How will the West react? Noted Financial Times writer Philip Stephens recently gave this assessment: "The questions that will vex Mr. Blair's successors [in Britain] will be about if and how China, India and other rising powers can be peacefully accommodated in a new international order; or whether we will see the return in Asia and elsewhere of the balance of power politics once familiar in Europe" (emphasis added throughout).



Diplomatic relations with these Eastern nations will gradually move from the margins of Western foreign policy to the center. There will be no other viable choice.



Two rising economic giants



Certainly both China and India will be having increasingly greater impact on the global economic order. Consider this important fact that we cannot ignore: In excess of a third of the world's population resides in these two Asian countries. Both are growing at substantially faster rates than any nations in the Western world.



Surprisingly, this growth is not exactly new in nature. According to Martin Sorrell, cochairman of the India Economic Summit, "If we go back to 1825, we would find that India and China represented the same proportion of worldwide GDP that they are forecast to represent in 2025. And this is a 200 year economic cycle that we are seeing" (World Economic Forum).



This rapid growth is occurring in spite of enormous social problems in both countries, particularly the AIDS epidemic in India. Still, some observers expect economic growth rates to reach double-digit figures before long.



A Sino-Indian accord



We should not forget that these two countries share a 3,500-kilometer (more than 2,000-mile) border. In 1962 in the Sikkim province of northeast India, a two-month armed conflict broke out between China and India. Serious tensions continued long after the truce.



As Dan McDougall of Scotsman.com news reported: "For the past 43 years both nations have bitterly contested their territories on the roof of the world." That is, until late last summer when the two countries signed a joint declaration with so-called "cartographic diplomacy" becoming the order of the day.



Both China and India compromised on key points soothing long-standing border disputes. But this was not all. Among the wide-ranging agreements were bilateral trade, joint petroleum, gas and space exploration and, perhaps much more disturbing, additional accords of joint cooperation between China's 2.5-million-strong army and the 1.3-million-man Indian defense force.



What all this means is patently obvious. As long as there are serious tensions between China and India, the rest of the world might breathe a little easier. But united, these two Asian powers constitute a formidable force from the east. We also must not forget that both nations possess nuclear arms.



As the "World View" feature in Newsweek magazine recently stated: "Thirty years of lectures on nonproliferation and sanctions have done nothing to stop, slow down or make safer India's nuclear program."



Still, President Bush is currently trying to put a cap on the number of Indian nuclear weapons. According to Asian Age, "U.S. President George W. Bush has made it very clear that all 'partners' under his new $250-million 'Global Nuclear Energy Partnership' proposal will have to agree to use nuclear power only for civilian purposes and forego uranium enrichment and reprocessing activities that can be used to develop nuclear weapons."



Yet at the same time, France and India are currently strengthening nuclear ties and have recently forged a new bilateral defense agreement.



The "kings from the east"



Where are all these events taking us in the long run? Prophetically, the Bible speaks specifically of the "kings from the east." It tells us that near the time of the very end of this age of man, the great Euphrates River will be dried up "so that the way of the kings from the east might be prepared" (Revelation 16:12).



This passage is referring to the movements of massive armies that will attack the coming European-centered superpower not long before the second coming of Jesus Christ.



A giant Asian superpower is prophesied to emerge, perhaps comprised of several large nations supported by an array of small ones. This heavily populated power bloc will execute one of the key events that will bring this age of man to an abrupt end and ironically help pave the way for Christ's coming millennial reign.



Trade and economic expansion will precede the main military effort. The armies of the east are currently nowhere near as large as they are biblically prophesied to become. Meanwhile the People's Republic of China is gradually pulling those levers that will eventually put it in a position of undisputed leadership among the Asian nations (at the expense of the United States).



Where is this world headed?



It is enormously important for us to understand how these future events fit together in a coherent manner. Only the Bible gives us accurate information about the overall destiny of nations. No other reliable source is available to humankind.



The United Church of God has published several key booklets about Bible prophecy. They draw these future events together, showing us the ultimate outcome of present world trends.



For starters, please request You Can Understand Bible Prophecy, Are We Living in the Time of the End? and The Book of Revelation Unveiled. All three are free for the asking. WNP

Monday, May 16, 2011

Japan's Earthquake Disaster: A Foretaste of Worse to Come?

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Japan's Earthquake Disaster: A Foretaste of Worse to Come?


article by Noel Hornor





The world was shocked by the destructiveness of the recent earthquake and tsunami that struck Japan. The disaster proved that even a modern, technologically advanced nation is helpless against the forces of nature. What perspectives does the Bible offer on this disaster?







Source: United States NavyOn March 11, 2011, a monstrous 9.0-magnitude earthquake near the east coast of Japan's main island of Honshu rattled the entire country and brought much of the population to its knees.



In the more than a hundred years during which men have been measuring the strength of earthquakes, only three stronger quakes have been recorded. This one tied for the fourth-strongest on record.



This quake was the largest ever in Japan's history, unleashing the equivalent of 30,000 Hiroshima-sized nuclear bombs. It was so powerful that it shifted the earth on its axis by several inches, making make it spin a little faster and thereby shortening the day by 1.8 millionths of a second. It moved the island nation about eight feet to the east.



Since the earthquake's epicenter was offshore, the early damage from the quake was moderate, relative to the size of the tremor. The tsunami that followed was another matter. Within minutes a huge wall of water swept onto the land, crushing buildings, capsizing boats, destroying bridges and sweeping debris in its path. Cars were swept along like they were toys.



In addition to the loss of thousands of lives, half a million people were rendered homeless, forced to take refuge in temporary shelters. Many lost everything they had, except for the clothes on their backs and perhaps a few personal items.



In the days that followed, the havoc wreaked by the earthquake began to increase exponentially. Another threat to life arose—that of radiation sickness from the stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. With the breakdown of cooling systems due to the earthquake and tsunami, reactors were badly damaged. Officials labored frantically to avoid a disaster like that of 1986 in Chernobyl, Ukraine.



The quake's epicenter was approximately 150 miles from Japan's capital city of Tokyo. The city and its surroundings are home to 39 million people, so any strong tremor there would be catastrophic—even one much smaller than the monstrous 9.0 shaker. So of course it's been calamitous. And that's despite some preparation, big earthquakes having struck the area in the past—in 1703, 1855 and 1923.



We should consider what's happened in the context of other recent and historic quakes—and what the Bible has to say about such natural calamities.



Frequency of recent major quakes

The earthquake off the coast of Japan is the sixth major one worldwide in a year and two months. On January 12, 2010, a 7.0 earthquake struck the poverty-ridden nation of Haiti; the epicenter was approximately 16 miles west of the capital of Port-au-Prince.



Because the nation of Haiti is so poor and had few buildings designed to endure the stress of a convulsion of this magnitude, an estimated 316,000 died, 300,000 were injured and 1 million were made homeless, according to the Haitian government. An estimated 250,000 residences and 30,000 commercial structures collapsed or were severely damaged. This was the worst earthquake in the region in more than 200 years.



On February 27, 2010, a devastating magnitude 8.8 earthquake struck Chile, one of the strongest earthquakes ever recorded. Over 500 people were killed, and more than more than 1.5 million were displaced.



The earthquake triggered a tsunami, which devastated several coastal towns in south-central Chile and damaged the port at Talcahuano. Tsunami warnings were issued in 53 countries, and the wave caused minor damage in the San Diego area of California and in the Tohoku region of Japan, where damage to the fisheries industry was estimated at $66.7 million.



Chileans were only just beginning to grapple with the devastation before them even as more than two dozen significant aftershocks struck the country. In Santiago, the capital, residents reported having been terrified as the city shook for about 90 seconds.



While this earthquake was far stronger than the 7.0-magnitude one that ravaged Haiti six weeks earlier, the damage and death toll in Chile was far less extensive, in part because of stricter building standards enabling structures to withstand damage in devastating earthquakes.



On January 2, 2011, another earthquake shook southern Chile, this one with a magnitude of 7.1. Tens of thousands fled the coastal areas for higher ground, fearing the quake might generate a major tsunami like the one in 2010. Hundreds of tourists spending the New Year's holiday at resort cities cut their trips short and headed north, clogging highways.



On February 22, 2011, a 6.3-magnitude temblor struck New Zealand, leaving the city of Christchurch in ruins. This was the second major quake to strike the country in less than six months.



The earlier one of September 2010 was considerably stronger, but the Christchurch shaker did much more damage because it struck one of New Zealand's largest cities. Churches and tall buildings were toppled and more than 100 people were killed. In viewing the city, Prime Minister John Key said, "It is just a scene of utter devastation" and "We may well be witnessing New Zealand's darkest day."



Earthquake threats to the United States

What is the danger that the United States will be jolted by a colossal quake? It is not only a danger; it is virtually guaranteed to happen eventually. The two densely populated areas that are most in danger are the midlands and the West Coast.



The New Madrid fault in the Midwest is not as infamous for the threat of major earthquake damage as other faults in the continental United States, but this area experienced major seismic activity in the years 1811-1812. Seven earthquakes in the magnitude range of 6.0 to 7.7 occurred in the period of Dec. 16, 1811, through Feb. 7, 1812. These quakes rank as some of the largest in America since its settlement by Europeans.



These quakes are not as well known as other major U.S. quakes, because the affected area was sparsely populated when the cataclysms occurred. According to the United States Geologic Survey, "The area of strong shaking associated with these shocks is two to three times as large as that of the 1964 Alaska earthquake and 10 times as large as that of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake."



The first main shock of these seven occurred on Dec. 16, 1811, and was felt far away. "People were awakened by the shaking in New York City, Washington, D.C., and Charleston, South Carolina" (USGS).



During the quake that occurred on Feb. 7, 1812, the vibrations were so great that some areas of the ground sank as much as 16 feet. Resulting tidal waves from the Mississippi River created Reelfoot Lake in Tennessee. It is Tennessee's largest natural lake.



West coast quakes

The most famous of mainland earthquakes in America is the 7.8-magnitude quake that struck San Francisco in 1906. This was due to seismic shifting on the San Andreas Fault, which runs roughly 810 miles through California to Baja California in northern Mexico.



Yuri Fialko, Professor of Geophysics at the University of California San Diego, completed a study in 2006 in which he demonstrated that the San Andreas Fault has been stressed to a level sufficient for the next "big one"—an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater.



Fialko's data suggests that the fault is ready for the next big earthquake, but exactly when that might occur we're not able to tell. According to professor Fialko, "It could be tomorrow or it could be 10 years or more from now."



Then there's the Cascadia subduction zone, a 680-mile fault that runs 50 miles off the coast of the Pacific Northwest from Cape Mendocino in California to Vancouver Island in southern British Columbia. Geophysicists estimate that it's capable of generating an earthquake with a magnitude as high as 9.0. The last time this occurred was in 1700; the one before that is estimated to have occurred around 1500.



Scientists say a rupture along this fault would cause the sea floor to bounce 20 feet or more, setting off powerful waves close to shore. The resultant monstrous tsunami would inundate coastal communities in minutes. As with the San Andreas Fault, geophysicists do not know if such a disaster is imminent but agree that eventually it is inevitable.



Earthquakes can affect the whole world

Every year thousands of earthquakes occur around the world, some strong enough to be felt by people. Most of them do no significant damage either to life or property. But some that have been recorded in the last 150 years have resulted in massive loss of life. An estimated 200,000 people were killed in an 8.5 quake in Kansu, China in 1920. In 1976, 255,000 people died from damage caused by an 8.0 quake centered near Tangshan, China. And the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami left more than 230,000 people dead in 14 countries.



Earthquakes can cripple—at least temporarily—a nation's economy. Japan is the third-largest economy in the world. While the March 11, 2011, earthquake and tsunami will have a harmful short-term medium effect on their economy, some economists believe the catastrophe will have a negative impact short-term on the world economy.



Historically, earthquakes have at times wrought permanent damage to major powers. In ancient Greece, the city-state of Sparta had the greatest military power during the classical era. "From the ninth to the fourth century BCE its armies were almost invincible . . . Sometime around 464 BCE a powerful earthquake devastated the city of Sparta with many fatalities. This event, while not immediately affecting Sparta's prominence, had a catalytic role in its eventual decline.



"The fatalities included not only Spartan soldiers but a great many women and children as well. Thus in the following years there were many fewer births among the Spartan soldier caste, leading to the weakening of Sparta's army. This earthquake foreshadowed Sparta's gradual deterioration and disappearance from the world stage" (Jelle Zeilinga de Boer and Donald Theodore Sanders, Earthquakes in Human History, 2005, pp. 45-46).



Thus, even the mighty can be laid low by the powerful shaking of the earth.



God's involvement in earthquakes?

Is God's hand ever present in the occurrence of tragic earthquakes? This quandary has often provided fodder for philosophers.



"A shocking event at mid-[18th] century supplied a brutal confirmation of disbelief. On the eve of All Saint's Day [Nov. 1] in 1755, while the faithful were in church, an earthquake shattered Lisbon. Fire and flood from the Tagus River completed its destruction. Tens of thousands perished.



"Instantly, [French historian and philosopher] Voltaire set to work on a long poem that drew the moral: how could a personal God endowed with power and justice ordain such a holocaust? For what conceivable reason kill worshipping men, women and children in a peculiarly horrible manner?



"That they were worse sinners than the same number of Parisians or Londoners was a contemptible answer. There was no answer, except that the forces of nature acted independently of their creator" (Jacques Barzun, From Dawn to Decadence, 2000, p. 378).



Because God is omnipotent, He has power over all the forces of nature to use earthquakes to punish individuals or nations, should He choose to do so. However, we should not conclude that in all cases He singles out people for chastisement through such tragedies. Sometimes people die or suffer other losses through natural disasters because of time and chance (Ecclesiastes:9:11I returned, and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill; but time and chance happeneth to them all.). They are in the wrong place at the wrong time.



There are exceptions, though. Sometimes God does speak through earth's turmoil, and there is surely no greater natural tumult that man can suffer than to have the very earth shake under his feet. A prolonged horrendous earthquake can turn the bravest human beings into a quivering, frightened mass of fearful flesh.



There is perhaps nothing we depend on more than having the steady, predictable solidity of the ground under our feet. When it begins to shake, buckle and roll violently, man's confidence can be reduced to zero as he sees everything he has made with his hands come crashing down around him. God's power is limitless. "He looks on the earth, and it trembles" (Psalm:104:32He looketh on the earth, and it trembleth: he toucheth the hills, and they smoke.).



God's past interventions

During past turbulent historical periods, God has moved the earth—sometimes to instill awe, fear and respect into the minds of people. Shortly after the time that God brought Israel out of Egypt through the Exodus, there were certain men—Korah, Dathan and Abiram—who dared question the divine authority that God had given Moses. They accused Moses of presumptuousness and self-exultation (Numbers:16:3And they gathered themselves together against Moses and against Aaron, and said unto them, Ye take too much upon you, seeing all the congregation are holy, every one of them, and the LORD is among them: wherefore then lift ye up yourselves above the congregation of the LORD?). Furthermore, a majority of the people was sympathetic to Korah, the ringleader (verse 19).



Moses knew that God was working through him, so he assembled the three rebels and the cantankerous congregation and warned them that God would move the earth, create a crevice and cause it to swallow up those who dared reject God (verse 30). Right after Moses spoke, God caused the earth to gape open with a fissure that swallowed the rebellious leaders and their families (verses 31-32).



This historical example demonstrates that God does sometimes punish disobedient people with shaking and splitting of the earth as appropriate payment for sins.



Earthquakes at the death and resurrection of Jesus

At times God has used an earthquake to send a different message. He spoke through an earthquake in the first century right after His Son was nailed to the cross.



When Jesus died, "the earth quaked, and the rocks were split" (Matthew:27:51And, behold, the veil of the temple was rent in twain from the top to the bottom; and the earth did quake, and the rocks rent;). Perhaps the quake foreshadowed the coming judgment of God on those who had crucified Jesus and also served as a divine sign that He truly was the Son of the Father.



It impressed the Roman soldiers who were guarding the site. "So when the centurion and those with him, who were guarding Jesus, saw the earthquake . . . they feared greatly, saying, 'Truly this was the Son of God!'" (verse 54).



God also used an earthquake to roll the stone away from Christ's empty tomb—to show that He had gained victory over the grave (Matthew:28:1-6[1]In the end of the sabbath, as it began to dawn toward the first day of the week, came Mary Magdalene and the other Mary to see the sepulchre.[2]And, behold, there was a great earthquake: for the angel of the Lord descended from heaven, and came and rolled back the stone from the door, and sat upon it.[3]His countenance was like lightning, and his raiment white as snow:[4]And for fear of him the keepers did shake, and became as dead men.[5]And the angel answered and said unto the women, Fear not ye: for I know that ye seek Jesus, which was crucified.[6]He is not here: for he is risen, as he said. Come, see the place where the Lord lay.).



The coming terror because of earthquakes

Biblical prophecy tells of future earthquakes far more powerful than any that human beings have yet experienced. The reason for these, in part, will be to instill awe and respect towards God in the hearts of all humanity at the end of the age and the return of Jesus Christ.



Isaiah:29:1Woe to Ariel, to Ariel, the city where David dwelt! add ye year to year; let them kill sacrifices. issues a woe of warning to "Ariel," which is another name for Jerusalem. Included in the dire message is the notice: "You will be punished by the Lord of hosts with thunder and earthquake and great noise" (verse 6).



Shortly before His death, Jesus gave a solemn prophetic warning of terrifying and terrible events that would precede His return. He included among these the fact that "there will be great earthquakes in various places" (Luke:21:11And great earthquakes shall be in divers places, and famines, and pestilences; and fearful sights and great signs shall there be from heaven., emphasis added throughout).



He also admonished all that there will be the turbulence of "the sea and the waves roaring" (verse 25). This may be a reference to future titanic tsunamis.



It will be more than just the area of Jerusalem that will be dealt deathly earthquakes at the time of the end. The greatest shakings of the planet since people have existed will make the entire earth tremble. The reaction of human beings will be nothing short of absolute panic: "They shall go into the holes of the rocks, and into the caves of the earth, from the terror of the Lord and the glory of His majesty, when He arises to shake the earth mightily" (Isaiah:2:19And they shall go into the holes of the rocks, and into the caves of the earth, for fear of the LORD, and for the glory of his majesty, when he ariseth to shake terribly the earth.).



There may be multiple quakes that follow that which Isaiah describes. But there will finally be one trembling and quaking of the earth that will be greater than all others.



The apostle John was given a preview of it through a vision in the book of Revelation. It will occur in conjunction with the final great battle, commonly (though erroneously) known as Armageddon, which pits the forces of Jesus Christ against those who dare rise up in rebellion against Him at His arrival.



It is part of the seventh bowl of God's wrath that is to be poured out: "There was a great earthquake, such a mighty and great earthquake as had not occurred since men were on the earth ... Then every island fled away, and the mountains were not found" (Revelation:16:18-20).



Why will God speak through such horrifying calamities to the population of the planet? It is because man is in rebellion against Him. We have worshipped and are worshipping idols and other gods instead of the true God (Isaiah:2:7-8[7]Their land also is full of silver and gold, neither is there any end of their treasures; their land is also full of horses, neither is there any end of their chariots:[8]Their land also is full of idols; they worship the work of their own hands, that which their own fingers have made:).



This monstrous quaking of the planet will cause men to cast away their idols of silver and gold (verse 20). Idol worship is not limited to adoration of graven images. Idol worship includes the love of money and all things that money can buy. It can include excessive, inordinate lust for anything, because covetousness is idolatry (Colossians:3:5Mortify therefore your members which are upon the earth; fornication, uncleanness, inordinate affection, evil concupiscence, and covetousness, which is idolatry:). We need to heed the Bible's warnings and turn from our sins!



What should you do?

In any given year, geophysicists record thousands of earthquakes; over 21,000 occurred in 2010. Most of these are small and do no damage. Large ones can do horrendous damage, and those that occur in the oceans can trigger disastrous tsunamis.



Men try to protect life and property against these powerful forces. They build seawalls to ward off the roiling ocean currents. Japan had constructed a 31-foot seawall near Fukushima on the island of Honshu. Yet even this could not stop the relentless wall of water.



No amount of planning, skills or constructing can stop a force that moves the planet, shaking the very ground on which we stand. Eventually the only deliverance is by turning to and placing ourselves in the hands of the only One who can truly save us—the all-powerful living God.

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Friday, May 13, 2011

The Brink of Bankruptcy: Unfunded Liabilities Threaten the U.S. Economy

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.




article by Mike Kelley





We're used to hearing regular reports of U.S. government debt growing to staggering levels. But recent events are spotlighting another huge problem—the unfunded liabilities of state and local governments that spell future financial chaos.







Source: iStockphotoIn early April, Americans by the millions were gripped by the specter of a Federal government shutdown, with members of the Democratic and Republican political parties battling each other over spending priorities. While both sides agree on the need for spending cuts in the face of a projected $1.4 trillion deficit for fiscal 2011, newly elected Republican representatives want a significant rollback of spending, but Democrats are somewhat more selective in the programs they would cut.



Hard on the heels of the looming Federal budget crisis, however, is the growing threat of unfunded liabilities, which threaten to swamp government at all levels in a deepening mire of fiscal impossibility. Promises made decades ago are coming back to haunt cash-strapped governments, leaving them scrambling to fund pension and medical liabilities that have mushroomed out of control in a population increasingly made up of retirees, older citizens and those needing medical care.



The problem has hit state and local governments especially hard. America watched in amazement during February and early March as thousands of Wisconsin teachers and other unionized state employees converged on the state capitol building in Madison to protest Governor Mark Walker's proposal to curtail the collective bargaining rights of state employees.



In scenes reminiscent of the civil rights demonstrations of the 1960s, thousands of Wisconsin school teachers and pro-union supporters marched, shouted slogans and occupied the capitol building, refusing to move until a court order forced them out.



Though the immediate issue centered on collective bargaining rights, a larger issue deals with state government finances. Wisconsin, which prides itself as the home of the American progressive movement, is nearly broke, with a deficit projected to top $3.6 billion for the fiscal year ending June 2013. Walker, the Republican elected governor in last November's Republican sweep, promised drastic reforms aimed at returning the state to fiscal responsibility.



Shortly after taking office, he announced a bold plan to balance the state's budget by requiring that Wisconsin's teachers be responsible for a greater share of their pension and health-care costs. The bill he introduced in the Wisconsin legislature also contained a provision to eliminate collective bargaining over benefits, which the teachers, as well as their supporters in the AFL-CIO union federation, saw as an attempt to break the union.



In sympathy with the teachers and government employee unions, Democratic legislators responded by leaving the state, preventing the needed quorum for a vote they knew they would lose. For three weeks the battle raged, only to reach a sort of climax on March 9 when Wisconsin Republicans found a legal loophole to pass the collective bargaining bill.



Trillions in unfunded liabilities threaten governments' solvency

Wisconsin has become the poster child for the desperate fiscal plight of state and local governments. Walker's plan to plug the budget shortfall has ignited similar moves in Michigan, Ohio, Indiana and other largely pro-union states, where desperate state legislatures are considering bills similar to the one passed in Wisconsin. As of mid-March, almost 9 out of 10 U.S. states were either experiencing or expected to experience major budget shortfalls.



The bottom line is that local government pensions are on a collision course with reality. A study published in late 2010 by a team of economists at Northwestern University and the University of Chicago warned that mounting pension liabilities "threatened the ability of state and local governments to operate."



Looking closely at data from 77 of the largest municipal defined-benefit pension plans, covering two million public employees and retirees, the study concluded that the estimated liability of all U.S. municipal retirement funds is $574 billion. Of course, the amount of liability varies from city to city. Every household in Chicago, for example, is on the hook for nearly $42,000 for its local pensions, while New York City households face the second-highest liability at nearly $39,000.



The National League of Cities, in its most recent annual survey of fiscal condition, ranked the problem of unfunded liabilities at the top of the list of financial concerns, with mounting employee healthcare costs and pension costs as the major concerns.



The problem is not confined to local governments: States are also facing hundreds of billions of dollars in unfunded liabilities. When local and state liabilities are added together, the figures are staggering. A 2010 study by the respected Pew Foundation put the figure for unfunded liabilities at more than $1 trillion over the next decade, with other studies putting the figure much higher.



Even these figures pale when total U.S. liability is factored in. The total of all of America's debt, added to the monumental long-term commitments of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, amounts to, by some estimates, more than $50 trillion—a staggering half million dollars for each American household! The mind simply boggles at such figures.



States and municipalities are waking up to the reality of the problem. In Philadelphia, which is about to run out of money from existing assets, Mayor Michael Nutter defined the city's defined benefit plan as "unsustainable" and announced plans to replace it with a defined contribution plan, which has no payout guarantees.



Small towns are also feeling the pinch. Prichard, Alabama, a small city on the outskirts of Mobile, ran out of money in 2009 in its municipal pension fund. In spite of a state law mandating the payments, Pritchard simply stopped sending out monthly retirement checks to its 150 retirees. The move sent shock waves through the state, while desperate pensioners filed lawsuits to get their benefits.



Harsh economic realities start to hit home

The growing problem of how to fund billions in pension, retirement and medical benefits has led to a national debate: Are pensions a right guaranteed to state and municipal employees?



Many state constitutions contain language supposedly guaranteeing state pension rights. In Illinois, the legislature recently passed a series of laws reforming the state's pension system that will save hundreds millions over the next decade. But it may be "too little and too late," as many observers doubt this will solve Illinois' budget problems.



Across the country, state and local pension funds are being forced to face harsh economic realities. Recent years have seen swelling numbers of state and municipal employee retirements, while increasing lifespans are lengthening the time pensions must be paid. The rapid rise of U.S. medical costs, which have been increasing at twice the rate of inflation for more than a decade, only exacerbates the problem.



This has occurred while state and local government hiring has stagnated, reducing the number of new workers paying into the systems. And as the United States continues to wallow in economic stagnation, cash-strapped cities and states are forced to lay off thousands of employees who are paying into the retirement and health-care systems.



States and municipalities also are getting squeezed by low interest rates that reduce returns on invested pension funds. For years, most state and municipal fund managers managed to get 7 to 8 percent returns on invested pension funds—a realistic rate until recently.



For example, California's massive California Public Employees Retirement Systems (CalPERS) fund, the nation's largest at more than $200 billion, achieved an annualized return of 7.75 percent for 20 years. But the past two years have seen this return drop dramatically. Though many fund managers are hoping for returns in the 6 to 7 percent range going forward, the economic turmoil of the past two years suggests that even this level of return may be overly optimistic.



It's interesting that many state constitutions mandate payment of pensions, but none of these state constitutions has figured out a way to create money! Unlike the Federal government, which has followed the underhanded policy of endless debt creation, states and cities must balance their budgets each year.



Some states, such as Illinois, have tackled the problem through tax increases on personal and corporate taxes. But wealthy citizens and their businesses are "voting with their feet" and simply leaving high-tax states. As one blogger puts it, "the laws of economics are far less yielding than the law of conspiracy-against-the-taxpayer."



California presents a case in point. If it were a separate nation, California would have the world's eighth-largest economy. Yet, facing a staggering $28 billion budget shortfall over the next 18 months, former Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger declared a state of "economic emergency."



The California Public Policy Center's estimates of funding shortfalls for California's state and local retirees range from $325 billion to nearly $500 billion over the next decade. By contrast, state revenues have averaged $94.5 billion per year over the past five years.



Currently, California's state and local governments employ more than 1.5 million workers, or nearly 5 percent of the state's population. Each of them is entitled to generous pension benefits under the state's defined-benefit plan—one of the most lavish in the nation. Its pension fund, estimated at more than $200 billion, is one of the largest investment pools on Wall Street.



California, recognizing the approaching disaster, passed measures in 2009 and 2010 designed to roll back some of the past decade's increases in public-sector employee pensions and increase employee contributions to the pension funds. But these halfhearted attempts have failed to solve the basic problems, and California is facing, as the Public Policy Center puts it, "a financial implosion."



Late last year, California State Controller John Chiang pointed out the unsettling news that the state's unfunded liability grew by $8.1 trillion during fiscal 2010, an amount nearly equal to 25 percent of the year's entire kindergarten-through-high-school education budget. Clearly, all California did was kick the fiscal can down the road.



Public employee pension plans are increasingly being likened to pyramid schemes, in which "contributions" withheld from those presently working are used to pay benefits to those currently retired or about to retire. The growing fear is that, like all pyramid schemes, those who come in last are the ones who end up losing. In state after state, pension plan "reforms" take the form of reduced pension benefits promised to newer public employees, who are often socked with higher benefits contributions.



Generous benefits for public-sector employees

Economic and financial observers point to the juicier benefits packages that most government employees receive. A 2010 study by the American Legislative Exchange Council, the nation's largest, nonpartisan voluntary membership organization of state legislators, showed public-sector employees get benefit packages worth far more than those in the private sector.



The study revealed that government employee benefits packages are 69 percent greater than those of private-sector employees and account for most of the roughly $11 per hour more that public-sector employees receive.



These heftier benefits packages, of course, require larger contributions on the part of state and local governments. Figures recently released by the Federal government's Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that state and local government contributions to public employee retirement and health-care benefits totaled $7.64 per hour versus only $2.93 per hour in the private sector.



A factor in national downfall

Observers of all political stripes agree that the problem of massive unfunded liabilities threatens the very economic survival of the nation. Many do not realize that history provides ample lessons of the dangers of national fiscal irresponsibility.



It has often been pointed out that fiscal breakdown was a major cause of the fall of ancient Rome. The 18th-century historian Edward Gibbon cited excessive taxation and spiraling government debt as one of the reasons for the collapse of the most powerful empire of ancient times. In his monumental work The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, Gibbon cited demands by the Praetorian Guard for ever-increasing pay and benefits and mounting costs of hiring foreign mercenaries to defend the Empire as leading causes of Rome's fiscal downfall.



Your Bible reveals how ancient Israel went from prosperity to its downfall, also brought on by fiscal irresponsibility. Under King Solomon, Israel enjoyed unprecedented prosperity; money and tribute poured into the Kingdom from surrounding nations that the Israelites either conquered or had treaties with. "So Solomon reigned over all kingdoms from the [Euphrates] River to the land of the Philistines, as far as the border of Egypt. They brought tribute and served Solomon all the days of his life" (1 Kings:4:21And Solomon reigned over all kingdoms from the river unto the land of the Philistines, and unto the border of Egypt: they brought presents, and served Solomon all the days of his life.).



Yet Solomon sowed the seeds of the country's destruction through immorality and excessive taxation. Shortly after his death, the kingdom split into two nations, Israel and Judah. Under a succession of mostly unrighteous kings that ruled after Solomon, Israel and Judah experienced further high taxation and even paid tribute to surrounding nations.



One of the acts of Jehoiakim, a puppet king who ruled over Judah more than three centuries later, was to tax the people heavily to pay tribute to the Egyptian Pharaoh Necho, who had taken control of Judah. "So Jehoiakim . . . taxed the land to give money according to the command of Pharaoh; he exacted the silver and gold from the people of the land, from everyone according to his assessment, to give it to Pharaoh Necho" (2 Kings:23:35And Jehoiakim gave the silver and the gold to Pharaoh; but he taxed the land to give the money according to the commandment of Pharaoh: he exacted the silver and the gold of the people of the land, of every one according to his taxation, to give it unto Pharaohnechoh.).



Great kingdoms and empires of old never learned the lesson of fiscal responsibility, and it led to their downfall. Just a few short decades ago the United States was the world's greatest lending nation. Now it is the greatest debtor nation in history, with debt increasing at an astronomical rate.



God's warning to ancient Israel of the results of rejecting Him are striking: "The alien who is among you shall rise higher and higher above you, and you shall come down lower and lower. He shall lend to you, but you shall not lend to him; he shall be the head, and you shall be the tail. Moreover all these curses shall come upon you and pursue and overtake you, until you are destroyed, because you did not obey the voice of the Lord your God, to keep His commandments and His statutes which He commanded you" (Deuteronomy:28:43-45[43]The stranger that is within thee shall get up above thee very high; and thou shalt come down very low.[44]He shall lend to thee, and thou shalt not lend to him: he shall be the head, and thou shalt be the tail.[45]Moreover all these curses shall come upon thee, and shall pursue thee, and overtake thee, till thou be destroyed; because thou hearkenedst not unto the voice of the LORD thy God, to keep his commandments and his statutes which he commanded thee:, emphasis added).



Ancient Israel and Judah both followed destructive paths, with the result that they were eventually overthrown, their people suffering enslavement to foreign powers. Will the United States suffer the same fate?

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Monday, May 9, 2011

Gaddafi's Violent Past Catching Up in Libya

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.


Gaddafi's Violent Past Catching Up in Libya


article by Melvin Rhodes





On Sept. 1, 1969, Libya's King Idris was overthrown in a violent coup that brought a young revolutionary Colonel Muammar Gaddafi to power. For more than 40 years his revolutionary fervor has spread mayhem and discord.







Source: WikimediaIt was early on a Monday morning. Our church office was on the lower floor of our home in the capital of the West African nation of Ghana. I will never forget the date—June 4, 1979.



As I descended the stairs heading toward the office, our office clerk came running out shouting: "A coup! A coup!"



We were about to experience a classic African coup, the violent overthrow of a government. We listened to the radio that was playing martial music, interspersed with occasional gunfire as the government-controlled (and only) radio station changed hands two or three times during the day—with junior officers of the air force attempting to overthrow the senior officers of the army who had enjoyed power for more than six years.



Two days of fighting followed, during which time it was too dangerous to go anywhere. For more than four days we had no electricity—which meant that all the meat in our freezer was ruined, food that had been difficult to find. Our water supply was intermittent, which was a far greater concern. We had two children at the time, one only weeks old.



Four days after the coup, a Friday, the headline in our local paper was simply: "NO FOOD." The new revolutionary government of young, idealistic socialists had introduced price controls on food items, leading to inevitable shortages. A few days after this a number of senior Ghanaians, including former heads of state, were taken to a local beach and summarily shot.



Libyan fingerprints on events

It turned out later that this coup had been encouraged by Libya's revolutionary Colonel Muammar Gaddafi, who had himself come to power in a coup 10 years earlier. His youthful zeal inspired others to follow suit. Ghana was one of three countries where successful violent coups had a Libyan connection.



A few months later, I made a second visit to Liberia. The first time I traveled there, the ruling president was a descendant of the African- American slaves who returned to Africa and founded the country in the early part of the 19th century. By my second visit, he and his government had been overthrown in a coup arguably more violent than Ghana's. Members of the old cabinet had been taken out to the beach, tied to stakes and executed.



Over two decades of violence and civil war was to follow before the country could start to rebuild. Again, Libya's hand was in the coup.



Similar events took place in Burkina Faso, Ghana's neighbor to the north, where Thomas Sankara came to power in 1983. To another young Marxist revolutionary with pan-Africanist ideals like those of Gaddafi, violence was the means to an end.



These three coups impacted me greatly. Exactly how many government overthrows throughout the region owed their origins to Libya's Gaddafi I cannot say, but these three assuredly did.



Will Gaddafi again turn to terrorism?

Scripture tells us that "those who live by the sword shall perish by the sword" (Matthew:26:52Then said Jesus unto him, Put up again thy sword into his place: for all they that take the sword shall perish with the sword.). As I write this article, Libya's president is waging a fierce fight to keep his throne—and I do not use the term throne incorrectly. Although Gaddafi overthrew King Idris in 1969 and established a republic, he clearly wanted to start his own dynasty, planning on one of his sons taking over the reins when it's his time to go.



One thing is clear: If Gaddafi is not removed by the rebel forces on the ground—which would only be made possible by effective air raid strikes of the primarily Western coalition of forces that have come against him—he will seek to hit back against them with all the violent means at his disposal.



In the March 10, 2011, Security Weekly newsletter from Stratfor (Strategic Forecasting), Scott Stewart asked, "Will Libya again become the arsenal of terrorism?" He explained: "During the 1970s and 1980s, Libya served as the arsenal of terrorism. While this role may have received the most publicity when large shipments of weapons were intercepted that Libya was trying to send to the Provisional Irish Republican Army, Libyan involvement in arming terrorist groups was far more widespread. Traces conducted on the weapons used in terrorist attacks by groups such as the Abu Nidal Organization frequently showed that the weapons had come from Libya."



Because of Libya's continued involvement in terrorist acts, there were frequent tensions with Western nations. In 1981 the United States shot down two Libyan fighter planes trying to enforce Libya's claim to international waters in the Gulf of Sidra. In 1986, U.S. forces sank two Libyan ships and attacked missile bases that had fired at American aircraft.



In retaliation a bomb tore through the side of a TWA flight in Europe, killing four; three days later another bomb blew up a disco in Berlin frequented by U.S. servicemen. Three were killed, including two American military personnel, and some 200 others injured. In retaliation, U.S. planes bombed Libya.



Conflict with Britain and France

Gaddafi certainly gave Libya a higher profile than his predecessor. In 1983 a British policewoman was shot and killed by gunmen inside the London Libyan embassy in total violation of international laws that govern the conduct of embassies. A siege of 11 days followed until Britain allowed the Libyans to leave the country.



In 1988 I was in Ghana when I heard the news of the midair explosion that brought down Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland. I remember the date well because my wife had flown home to Detroit to visit her mother, and friends started calling thinking she might have been on the flight. I'm thankful to say she was not, but 259 people were—all of whom were killed, in addition to 11 other people on the ground.



Investigators traced the bomb back to Libyan agents. Only recently did a prominent Libyan make it clear that the bomb would not have been authorized by anybody but Colonel Gaddafi.



It's interesting to note that the French government first suggested the no-fly zone that went into effect in late March. More than 20 years ago it was France that thwarted Libya's plans to overthrow the government of neighboring Chad, a former French colony. In retaliation, Libyan agents placed a bomb on a French plane taking off from Chad's capital in September 1989, killing all 170 on board.



Clearly, Libya under Gaddafi has made many enemies, so it's not surprising that Western governments, notably the French and the British, have a vested interest in seeing him removed from power and are doing what they can to help the rebels fighting against him. However, this is fraught with danger for the major Western powers.



In his Stratfor analysis, Scott Stewart expressed concern that the current turmoil in Libya could boost Islamic jihadists. "The conflict in Libya could provide jihadists in Libya more room to operate than they have enjoyed for many years," he wrote. "This operational freedom for the jihadists might have an impact not only in Libya but also in the broader region, and one way this impact could manifest itself is in the supply of arms.



"The looting of the arms depots in Libya is reminiscent of the looting in Iraq following the U.S. invasion in 2003. There are also reports that foreign governments are discussing providing arms to the Libyan rebels . . . While it is far from clear if any of those discussions are serious or whether any potential patron would ever follow through, past operations to arm rebels have had long-lasting repercussions in places like Afghanistan and Central America."



Clearly, the attempted overthrow of Gaddafi is not simply an example of an oppressed people seeking freedom by overthrowing a tyrant. While many may want a democratic system, there are others who don't, including Gaddafi loyalists and jihadists seeking to take advantage of the situation.



In a further analysis by Stewart titled "Libya's Terrorism Option" (March 23), he speculated about further acts of terrorism against the Western nations intervening militarily in Libya: "Certainly, Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi has no doubt that the U.S. and European military operations against the Libyan military targets are attacks against his regime. He has specifically warned France and the United Kingdom that they would come to regret the intervention . . .



"Given Libya's past use of terrorist strikes to lash out when attacked by Western powers, Gadhafi's threats certainly raise the possibility that, desperate and hurting, he will once again return to terrorism as a means to seek retribution for the attacks against his regime. While threats of sanctions and retaliation have tempered Gadhafi's use of terrorism in recent years, his fear may evaporate if he comes to believe he has nothing to lose."



A coming clash between north and south

Those familiar with Bible prophecy must now ask if this could be a precursor to events prophesied in the last few verses of Daniel 11: "At the time of the end the king of the South shall attack him; and the king of the North shall come against him like a whirlwind, with chariots, horsemen, and with many ships" (verse 40).



References to the kings of the North and South in chapter 11 of Daniel refer to two great empires of the ancient world that came about following the premature death of Alexander the Great. After his demise, his empire was divided up among four of his generals.



One was Ptolemy, who founded the Ptolemaic dynasty of ancient Egypt that ended three centuries later with the death of Queen Cleopatra. This kingdom was to the south of Jerusalem, hence the references to the "king of the South." The "king of the North" referred to leaders of the empire of the Greek general Seleucus and the Seleucid dynasty, the capital of which was Antioch. These two powers were often in conflict.



At the time of the end, once again there will be two major powers in conflict in the region—a revived Roman Empire to the north in the form of a new European-centered superpower and an alliance from the Islamic world to the south. The former will invade North Africa, including Egypt and Libya, areas of so much recent turmoil. (For more details, see "Egypt in History and Prophecy" and "The Origins and Future of Mideast Conflict Over Israel".)



Major terrorist attacks against Europe sponsored by Gaddafi or other terrorist-friendly regimes could certainly lead to events gaining momentum towards fulfillment of these prophecies. With turmoil in the Middle East affecting many nations, it seems more likely that the outcome of the current crisis is going to be the coming to power of Islamic jihadists across the region who may then seek to attack Europe, bringing on a great war between civilizations.



We must keep our eyes on the Middle East, the ground zero of Bible prophecy!

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