Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Christmas vs. the Bible

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.

Christmas vs. the Bible


How well do the customs and traditions of Christmas match the biblical account of Christ's birth?



An objective look shows that many traditions supposedly rooted in the Bible don't match the biblical account.



Did three wise men travel to see Jesus? The Bible doesn't say how many there were. There could have been more. We are told only that they gave Jesus three kinds of gifts: "gold, frankincense, and myrrh" (Matthew:2:1Now when Jesus was born in Bethlehem of Judaea in the days of Herod the king, behold, there came wise men from the east to Jerusalem,, 11). Did everyone exchange gifts when Christ was born? Gifts were presented to Jesus because He was born "King of the Jews" (verses 2, 11). This was the expected custom when appearing before a king, thus the wise men brought gifts fit for a king: gold and valuable spices. Jesus alone was the recipient of the gifts; others did not exchange gifts among themselves.



Did the wise men, as nativity scenes often depict, arrive to find Jesus in a stable manger, there having been "no room in the inn"? (Luke:2:7And she brought forth her firstborn son, and wrapped him in swaddling clothes, and laid him in a manger; because there was no room for them in the inn.). No. When the wise men arrived, apparently some time after Christ's birth, Joseph's family was residing in a house (Matthew:2:11And when they were come into the house, they saw the young child with Mary his mother, and fell down, and worshipped him: and when they had opened their treasures, they presented unto him gifts; gold, and frankincense and myrrh.).



Did the writers of the four Gospels (Matthew, Mark, Luke and John) consider Jesus' birth to be one of the most significant events for Christians to acknowledge or celebrate? Mark and John do not even mention the event. Although Matthew and Luke do, neither gives the date. None of the biblical writers says anything about commemorating Christ's birth.



Did Jesus Christ tell us to celebrate His birth? No. He left explicit instructions regarding how His followers are to commemorate His death (1 Corinthians:11:23-26[23]For I have received of the Lord that which also I delivered unto you, That the Lord Jesus the same night in which he was betrayed took bread:[24]And when he had given thanks, he brake it, and said, Take, eat: this is my body, which is broken for you: this do in remembrance of me.[25]After the same manner also he took the cup, when he had supped, saying, This cup is the new testament in my blood: this do ye, as oft as ye drink it, in remembrance of me.[26]For as often as ye eat this bread, and drink this cup, ye do shew the Lord's death till he come.), but nothing about His birth.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Christmas Before Christ? The Surprising Story

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.


Christmas Before Christ? The Surprising Story





article by Jerold Aust





Most people know the Bible doesn't mention—much less sanctify—Christmas. Does it make any difference as long as it's intended to honor God and bring families together?



Several months ago the popular American comedic actor Drew Carey was interviewed on an equally popular television talk show, The View. Mr. Carey surprised the audience when he addressed the value of telling children the truth about Santa Claus.



"I don't think you should tell kids that there is a Santa Claus," he said. "That's the first lie you tell your children." Instead, "tell kids that Santa's a character we made up to celebrate a time of the season." Otherwise "when kids get to be 5 ... they realize their parents have been lying to them their whole life."



Earlier in the year the Arts & Entertainment cable television channel aired a program about Christmas titled Christmas Unwrapped: The History of Christmas. The promo for this program read:



"People all over the world celebrate the birth of Christ on December 25th. But why is the Savior's nativity marked by gift- giving, and was He really born on that day? And just where did the Christmas tree come from?



"Take an enchanting journey through the history of the world's favorite holiday to learn the origins of some of the Western world's most enduring traditions. Trace the emergence of Christmas from pagan festivals like the Roman Saturnalia, which celebrated the winter solstice."



These two programs addressed the fact that Santa Claus is fictitious and that Christmas and its trappings emanate from pagan Roman festivals. By no means are these the only sources of information about the background of Santa Claus and Christmas.



Is there more to these ancient traditions and practices than meets the eye? And, more important, does it make any difference whether we continue them?



Celebration of the sun god

It may sound odd that any religious celebration with Christ's name attached to it could predate Christianity. Yet the holiday we know as Christmas long predates Jesus Christ. Elements of the celebration can be traced to ancient Egypt, Babylon and Rome. This fact doesn't cast aspersions on Jesus; it does, however, call into question the understanding and wisdom of those who, over the millennia, have insisted on perpetuating an ancient pagan festival that has devolved through much of the world as Christmas.



Members of the early Church would have been astonished to think that the customs and practices we associate with Christmas would be incorporated into a celebration of Christ's birth. Not until several centuries had passed would Christ's name be attached to this popular Roman holiday.



As Alexander Hislop explains in his book The Two Babylons: "It is admitted by the most learned and candid writers of all parties that the day of our Lord's birth cannot be determined, and that within the Christian Church no such festival as Christmas was ever heard of till the third century, and that not till the fourth century was far advanced did it gain much observance" (1959, pp. 92-93).



As for how Dec. 25 became the date for Christmas day, virtually any book on the history of Christmas will explain that this day was celebrated in the Roman Empire as the birthday of the sun god. Explaining how Dec. 25 came to be selected as the supposed birthday of Jesus, the book 4000 Years of Christmas says: "For that day was sacred, not only to the pagan Romans but to a religion from Persia which, in those days, was one of Christianity's strongest rivals. This Persian religion was Mithraism, whose followers worshiped the sun, and celebrated its return to strength on that day" (Earl and Alice Count, 1997, p. 37).



Not only was Dec. 25 honored as the birthday of the sun, but a festival had long been observed among the heathen to celebrate the growing amount of daylight after the winter solstice, the shortest day of the year. The precursor of Christmas was in fact an idolatrous midwinter festival characterized by excess and debauchery that predated Christianity by many centuries.



Pre-Christian practices incorporated

This ancient festival went by different names in various cultures. In Rome it was called the Saturnalia, in honor of Saturn, the Roman god of agriculture. The observance was adopted by early Roman church leaders and given the name of Christ ("Christ mass," or Christmas) to conciliate the heathen and swell the number of the nominal adherents of Christianity.



The tendency on the part of third-century Catholic leadership was to meet paganism halfway-a practice made clear in a bitter lament by the Carthaginian philosopher Tertullian.



In 230 he wrote of the inconsistency of professing Christians. He contrasted their lax and political practices with the strict fidelity of the pagans to their own beliefs: "By us who are strangers to Sabbaths, and new moons, and festivals [the biblical festivals spelled out in Leviticus 23], once acceptable to God, the Saturnalia, the feasts of January, the Brumalia, and Matronalia, are now frequented; gifts are carried to and fro, new year's day presents are made with din, and sports and banquets are celebrated with uproar; oh, how much more faithful are the heathen to their religion, who take special care to adopt no solemnity from the Christians" (Hislop, p. 93).



Failing to make much headway in converting the pagans, the religious leaders of the Roman church began compromising by dressing the heathen customs in Christian-looking garb. But, rather than converting them to the church's beliefs, the church became largely converted to non-Christian customs in its own religious practices.



Although at first the early Catholic Church censured this celebration, "the festival was far too strongly entrenched in popular favor to be abolished, and the Church finally granted the necessary recognition, believing that if Christmas could not be suppressed, it should be preserved in honor of the Christian God. Once given a Christian basis the festival became fully established in Europe with many of its pagan elements undisturbed" (Man, Myth & Magic: The Illustrated Encyclopedia of Mythology, Religion, and the Unknown, Richard Cavendish, editor, 1983, Vol. 2, p. 480, "Christmas").



Celebration wins out over Scripture

Some resisted such spiritually poisonous compromises. "Upright men strove to stem the tide, but in spite of all their efforts, the apostasy went on, till the Church, with the exception of a small remnant, was submerged under Pagan superstition. That Christmas was originally a Pagan festival is beyond all doubt. The time of the year, and the ceremonies with which it is still celebrated, prove its origin" (Hislop, p. 93).



The aforementioned Tertullian, for one, disassociated himself from the Roman church in an attempt to draw closer to the teachings of the Bible.



He wasn't alone in his disagreement with such trends. "As late as 245 Origen, in his eighth homily on Leviticus, repudiates as sinful the very idea of keeping the birthday of Christ as if he were a king Pharaoh" (The Encyclopaedia Britannica, 11th edition, Vol. 6, p. 293, "Christmas").



Christmas was not made a Roman holiday until 534 (ibid.). It took 300 years for the new name and symbols of Christmas to replace the old names and meaning of the midwinter festival, a pagan celebration that reaches back so many centuries.



No biblical support for Santa Claus

How did Santa Claus enter the picture? Why is this mythical figure so closely aligned with the Christmas holiday? Here, too, many books are available to shed light on the origins of this popular character.



"Santa Claus" is an American corruption of the Dutch form "San Nicolaas," a figure brought to America by the early Dutch colonists (The Encyclopaedia Britannica, 11th edition, Vol. 19, p. 649, "Nicholas, St."). This name, in turn, stems from St. Nicholas, bishop of the city of Myra in southern Asia Minor, a Catholic saint honored by the Greeks and the Latins on Dec. 6.



He was bishop of Myra in the time of the Roman emperor Diocletian, was persecuted, tortured for the Catholic faith and kept in prison until the more tolerant reign of Constantine (ibid.). Various stories claim a link from Christmas to St. Nicholas, all of them having to do with gift-giving on the eve of St. Nicholas, subsequently transferred to Christmas Day (ibid.).



How, we might ask, did a bishop from the sunny Mediterranean coast of Turkey come to be associated with a red-suited man who lives at the north pole and rides in a sleigh pulled by flying reindeer?



Knowing what we have already learned about the ancient pre-Christian origins of Christmas, we shouldn't be surprised to learn that Santa Claus, too, is nothing but a figure recycled from ancient pagan beliefs.



The trappings associated with Santa Claus-his fur-trimmed wardrobe, sleigh and reindeer-reveal his origin from the cold climates of the far North. Some sources trace him to the ancient Northern European gods Woden and Thor, from which the days of the week Wednesday (Woden's day) and Thursday (Thor's day) get their designations (Earl and Alice Count, pp. 56-64). Others trace him even farther back in time to the Roman god Saturn and the Greek god Silenus (William Walsh, The Story of Santa Klaus, pp. 70-71).



Was Jesus born in December?

Most Bible scholars who have written on the subject of Jesus' birth conclude that, based on evidence in the Bible itself, there is no possible way Christ could have been born anywhere near Dec. 25.



Again we turn to Alexander Hislop: "There is not a word in the Scriptures about the precise day of [Jesus'] birth, or the time of the year when He was born. What is recorded there, implies that at what time soever His birth took place, it could not have been on the 25th of December. At the time that the angel announced His birth to the shepherds of Bethlehem, they were feeding their flocks by night in the open fields ... The climate of Palestine ... from December to February, is very piercing, and it was not the custom for the shepherds of Judea to watch their flocks in the open fields later than about the end of October" (Hislop, p. 91, emphasis in original).



He goes on to explain that the autumn rains beginning in September or October in Judea would mean that the events surrounding Christ's birth recorded in the Scriptures could not have taken place later than mid-October, so Jesus' birth likely took place earlier in the fall (Hislop, p. 92).



Further evidence supporting Jesus' birth in the autumn is that the Romans were intelligent enough not to set the time for taxation and travel in the dead of winter, but during more-favorable conditions. Since Joseph's lineage was from Bethlehem, and since he had to travel from Nazareth in Galilee to Bethlehem, and since his expectant wife Mary traveled with him, it would have been nearly impossible for Joseph and Mary to make the trip in the winter. As recorded by Luke, Mary delivered Jesus in Bethlehem during the time of census and taxation-which no rational official would have scheduled for December.



What difference does it make?

The Bible gives us no reason-and certainly no instruction-to support the myths and fables of Christmas and Santa Claus. They are tied to the ways of this world and contrary to the ways of Christ and His holy truth. "Do not learn the way of the Gentiles," God tells us (Jeremiah:10:2Thus saith the LORD, Learn not the way of the heathen, and be not dismayed at the signs of heaven; for the heathen are dismayed at them.).



Professing Christians should examine the background of the Christmas holiday symbols and stop telling their children that Santa Claus and his elves, reindeer and Christmas gift-giving are connected with Jesus Christ. Emphatically they are not! God hates lying. "These six things the LORD hates, yes, seven are an abomination to Him: a proud look, a lying tongue, hands that shed innocent blood, a heart that devises wicked plans, feet that are swift in running to evil, a false witness who speaks lies, and one who sows discord among brethren" (Proverbs:6:16-19[16]These six things doth the LORD hate: yea, seven are an abomination unto him:[17]A proud look, a lying tongue, and hands that shed innocent blood,[18]An heart that deviseth wicked imaginations, feet that be swift in running to mischief,[19]A false witness that speaketh lies, and he that soweth discord among brethren.).



Christ reveals that Satan the devil is the father of lies (John:8:44Ye are of your father the devil, and the lusts of your father ye will do. He was a murderer from the beginning, and abode not in the truth, because there is no truth in him. When he speaketh a lie, he speaketh of his own: for he is a liar, and the father of it.). Parents should tell their children the truth about God and this world's contrary and confusing ways. If we don't, we only perpetuate the notion that it is acceptable for parents to lie to their children.



Can a professing Christian promote a pagan holiday and its symbols as something that God or Christ has approved? Let's see what God thinks about people using customs and practices rooted in false religion to worship Him and His Son. We find His views clearly expressed in both the Old and New Testament.



God specifically commands His people not to do what early church leaders did when they incorporated idolatrous practices and relabeled them Christian. Before they entered the Promised Land, God gave the Israelites a stern warning: "Take heed to yourself that you are not ensnared to follow them [the inhabitants of the land],... and that you do not inquire after their gods, saying, 'How did these nations serve their gods? I also will do likewise.'



"You shall not worship the LORD your God in that way; for every abomination to the LORD which He hates they have done to their gods ... Whatever I command you, be careful to observe it; you shall not add to it nor take away from it" (Deuteronomy:12:30-32[30]Take heed to thyself that thou be not snared by following them, after that they be destroyed from before thee; and that thou enquire not after their gods, saying, How did these nations serve their gods? even so will I do likewise.[31]Thou shalt not do so unto the LORD thy God: for every abomination to the LORD, which he hateth, have they done unto their gods; for even their sons and their daughters they have burnt in the fire to their gods.[32]What thing soever I command you, observe to do it: thou shalt not add thereto, nor diminish from it., emphasis added throughout).



Many centuries later the apostle Paul traveled to and raised up churches in many gentile cities. To the members of the Church of God in Corinth, a city steeped in idolatry, Paul wrote: "... What fellowship has righteousness with lawlessness? And what communion has light with darkness? And what accord has Christ with Belial? Or what part has a believer with an unbeliever? And what agreement has the temple of God with idols? For you are the temple of the living God ... Therefore 'Come out from among them and be separate, says the Lord. Do not touch what is unclean, and I will receive you.' ... Therefore, having these promises, beloved, let us cleanse ourselves from all filthiness of the flesh and spirit, perfecting holiness in the fear of God" (2 Corinthians:6:14-17[14]Be ye not unequally yoked together with unbelievers: for what fellowship hath righteousness with unrighteousness? and what communion hath light with darkness?[15]And what concord hath Christ with Belial? or what part hath he that believeth with an infidel?[16]And what agreement hath the temple of God with idols? for ye are the temple of the living God; as God hath said, I will dwell in them, and walk in them; and I will be their God, and they shall be my people.[17]Wherefore come out from among them, and be ye separate, saith the Lord, and touch not the unclean thing; and I will receive you.; 7:1).



Instead of allowing members to rename and celebrate customs associated with false gods, Paul's instructions were clear: They were to have nothing to do with them. He similarly told Athenians who were steeped in idolatry, "Truly, these times of ignorance God overlooked, but now commands all men everywhere to repent" (Acts:17:30And the times of this ignorance God winked at; but now commandeth all men every where to repent:).



God alone has the right to decide the special days on which we should worship Him. Jesus Christ plainly tells us that "God is Spirit, and those who worship Him must worship in spirit and truth" (John:4:24God is a Spirit: and they that worship him must worship him in spirit and in truth.). We cannot honor God in truth with false practices adopted from the worship of nonexistent gods.



Jesus said: "This people honors Me with their lips, but their heart is far from Me. And in vain they worship Me, teaching as doctrines the commandments of men" (Mark:7:6-7[6]He answered and said unto them, Well hath Esaias prophesied of you hypocrites, as it is written, This people honoureth me with their lips, but their heart is far from me.[7]Howbeit in vain do they worship me, teaching for doctrines the commandments of men.). With God no substitutes are acceptable. It makes no difference that Christians mean well when they observe Christmas. God is not amused or pleased.



The knowledge of how to honor Almighty God, who made us, preserves us and gives us eternal life, has been made available to you. Will you honor God or follow the traditions of mankind? GN

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Monday, November 28, 2011

Christmas: a banned celebration

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.





In England "the Protestants found their own quieter ways of celebrating, in calm and meditation," while "the strict Puritans refused to celebrate at all ...The Pilgrims in Massachusetts made a point of working on Christmas as on any other day. On June 3, 1647, Parliament established punishments for observing Christmas and certain other holidays. This policy was reaffirmed in 1652" (Del Re, p. 20).



Even colonial America considered Christmas more of a raucous revelry than a religious occasion: "So tarnished, in fact, was its reputation in colonial America that celebrating Christmas was banned in Puritan New England, where the noted minister Cotton Mather described yuletide merrymaking as ‘an affront unto the grace of God'" (Jeffery Sheler, "In Search of Christmas," U.S. News and World Report, Dec. 23, 1996, p. 56).




Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Thanksgiving: What's Really Behind the Turkey and Stuffing?

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.




A commentary by Randy D'Alessandro



Abraham Lincoln's Thanksgiving proclamation during the depths of the Civil War gives fresh insights into the real meaning of Thanksgiving.



When you think of Thanksgiving, what thoughts come to mind? Perhaps you envision the enjoyment of your family around the dinner table and all that accompanies that scene: the laughter and love, the delicious meal with all the trimmings and, perhaps, a football game or two on TV.



America is the most affluent nation that the world has ever seen. Consider just one fact to illustrate this point: America's gross domestic product accounts for close to a quarter of the world total!



Source of blessings?

Question: Can we Americans really take credit for all of the blessings that we have come to enjoy? Are these blessings simply a result of our hard work, our risk taking, our ingenuity? Are we Americans the architect of this greatness? Could there be another power behind the scenes that we truly should give thanks to for the lifestyles that we enjoy today?



During one of the greatest conflicts that the United States has ever faced, the American Civil War, President Abraham Lincoln was moved to proclaim a day of Thanksgiving. Please note where his emphasis lay in making that proclamation:



"The year that is drawing towards its close, has been filled with the blessings of fruitful fields and healthful skies. To these bounties, which are so constantly enjoyed that we are prone to forget the source from which they come, others have been added, which are of so extraordinary a nature, that they cannot fail to penetrate and soften even the heart which is habitually insensible to the ever watchful providence of Almighty God...



"No human counsel hath devised nor hath any mortal hand worked out these great things. They are the gracious gifts of the Most High God, who, while dealing with us in anger for our sins, hath nevertheless remembered mercy. It has seemed to me fit and proper that they should be solemnly, reverently and gratefully acknowledged as with one heart and one voice by the whole American People. I do therefore invite my fellow citizens in every part of the United States, and also those who are at sea and those who are sojourning in foreign lands, to set apart and observe the last Thursday of November next, as a day of Thanksgiving and Praise to our beneficent Father who dwelleth in the Heavens" (Collected Works of Abraham Lincoln, Vol. 6, edited by Roy P. Basler, emphasis added).



Abraham Lincoln's comment bears repeating: "No human counsel hath devised nor hath any mortal hand worked out these great things. They are the gracious gifts of the Most High God…"



Challenging questions

During this season of giving thanks, let's ask challenging questions about why America has been so blessed. Questions such as:



•Why has this nation been so favorably blessed over the nations that have preceded us in history?

•If, as President Lincoln states, our blessings have come from the hand of "the Most High God," does the Bible have anything to say about the United States in prophecy?

•Does it make any sense that the Bible would discuss, in detail, smaller nations with limited international impact and not discuss the mightiest nation that has ever been?

•If the Bible does discuss the United States of America, what does it have to say regarding our future?





People are continually seeking "inside information" regarding the future. God's Word, the Bible, does discuss in great detail the future of the United States. These prophecies will have a tremendous impact on your life and the life of your loved ones.



Shouldn't you take the time to investigate what God says about your future? This investigation will not cost you much—just some of your time. The rewards of this investigation will produce great benefits for you and your family.



The United Church of God, an International Association has a booklet that is available to you free of charge titled The United States and Britain in Bible Prophecy. This booklet will give you the reason this nation has risen to greatness and why it is that we can truly give "thanks" on Thanksgiving Day.



Just as important, this booklet will give you valuable insights into what the future holds for you and your family. Shouldn't you take the opportunity to investigate what God says He has in mind for your future?

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Monday, November 21, 2011

Super Committee Falls Flat

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632




by Darris McNeely

It is not a good start to the week of Thanksgiving. The stock market is in negative territory again. Stocks are plunging on more bad economic news that has to do with a failure of leadership more than anything else.


The so-called "super committee" in congress that has been charged with crafting a deficit reduction plan appears to be a failure. Partisan politics is more to blame here than anything. This committee was almost designed to fail since it contained six Republicans and six Democrats, all heavily weighted by their party's ideology. The news that they will not come up with a plan is once again showing the failure of leadership at the congressional level.


Going into an election year this is presenting an uncertain picture before other world leaders. Another downgrade of government debt could result. Without a deal automatic spending cuts kick in that can trigger massive cuts in some vital government programs like defense.


Today's stories about this use words like "failure" and "lack of confidence' to describe how this is being received by the public. Even if some last minute compromise is worked out it shows the utter inability of leaders to craft an intelligent and effective deficit reduction plan that will insure the future economic integrity of the United States. There appears to be no wise men left in the room to get the job done.


Steve Myers and I did a piece this morning for BT Daily that talks about this issue. It seemed the best piece to lead with this week. I am watching this development carefully in preparation for a presentation I will make next month. "Mene, Mene Tekel Upharsin: Nations Weighed and Found Wanting" will survey the current world scene and the failure of leadership in bringing effective solutions to today's world problems.

We keep kicking the can down the road. One of these days the can is going to explode in our face. It will then be too late for any committee, super or not, to put it all back together.

Friday, November 18, 2011

Currency Wars: Precursor to Trade Wars

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.

Currency Wars: Precursor to Trade Wars






article by Paul Kieffer





A stunning move by the Swiss National Bank in September signals the opening round of a currency war as Switzerland sets exchange limits to protect its domestic economy. What are the ultimate repercussions of such actions?







A Swiss franc bank note.



Source: Wikimedia CommonsIn a dramatic move on September 6, 2011, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) provided Swiss businessmen the support they had been seeking for months. At the opening bell for European stock and financial markets, the SNB declared that further value increase of the Swiss franc relative to the euro would not be tolerated. Instead, a minimum exchange rate of 1 euro to 1.20 Swiss francs would be maintained—the bank purchasing euros in whatever quantity necessary to support this rate.



The announcement stunned Eu​ropean financial markets. The value of the Swiss franc dropped more than 8 percent within minutes, and the price of gold dropped by 2 percent. When trading ended later that day, the Swiss franc had achieved its target valuation of 1.20 francs to the euro and has since remained at that level—or lower.



The SNB's decision was a surprise following its failed attempt last year to limit the rise in value of the Swiss franc relative to other currencies. Financial analysts characterized 2010 as a year of currency jockeying and tension as various central banks attempted to prevent their currencies from strengthening. Repeated intervention by the SNB left its foreign currency accounts bloated and resulted in an annual loss of 20 billion Swiss francs for the year, but had little effect on the franc's value.



Why would a country want to keep its currency valuation low? It encourages foreign trade and tourism. With Switzerland's small free-market economy, its lack of extensive natural resources and its strong dependence on foreign trade and tourism, the country is hurt when the value of its currency is too high against other currencies.



A few large multinational Swiss companies have production centers in other currency regions. By utilizing production capacity outside Switzerland as needed, they can mitigate losses from an adverse exchange rate to some extent. However, small and mid-sized businesses—a major contributor to the Swiss economy (as in Germany also)—do not have that option. The appreciation of the Swiss franc is especially challenging for exporters. To prevent their products from becoming too pricey in foreign markets, a few companies had even asked employees to work extra hours with no increase in pay. Switzerland's tourism industry also voiced concern that a strong Swiss franc would have an adverse effect on revenue.



In the aftermath of the SNB's surprise announcement, financial analysts predicted that speculators would test the central bank's commitment to maintaining its target exchange rate. With some $230 billion (U.S.) in exchange reserves, the SNB appears to have adequate funds to meet the challenge.



Yet what does this mean for international trade and relations? Where do such steps eventually lead?



Currency instability: nothing new under the sun

The SNB decision on September 6, 2011, reminded me of a day in August 40 years earlier. At the time I was working as a technical assistant at a business consulting firm near Hanover, Germany. In the afternoon a colleague burst into the room to tell me that German news media had just reported an important decision made by U.S. President Richard Nixon.



On August 15, 1971, Nixon announced that there would no longer be any official exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and gold. As part of the Bretton Woods exchange rate system established after World War II, the dollar had been pegged at $35 per ounce of gold. America's promise to redeem dollars at this rate also linked other currencies in the system directly to gold. Nixon's decision was an attempt to combat an inflation rate above 5 percent and the devaluation of the U.S. dollar (resulting from the cost of the Vietnam War) and to prevent further depletion of America's own gold reserves. As the excess of printed dollars grew in the late 1960s and through 1970, other nations began to demand that America fulfill its gold redemption promise. For example, Switzerland redeemed $50 million of paper money for gold in July 1971.



As one of several unilateral moves made by the United States since World War II, Nixon and his advisers took action without consulting other members of the international monetary system. Foreign governments and central banks heard about the decision the same way the general public did—through the news media as Nixon delivered his speech. The announcement was made before U.S. markets opened and just as Asian markets were opening for the next trading day. The "Nixon shock," as the world's financial community called it, effectively ended the postwar Bretton Woods exchange rate system and gave rise to the current floating (or flexible) exchange rates between currencies.



Floating exchange rates as a source of conflict

In 1996, Paul Krugman, winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize for economics, commented on the inherent dangers of a floating exchange rate system: "While a freely floating national money has advantages, however, it also has risks. For one thing, it can create uncertainties for international traders and investors.Over the past five years, the dollar has been worth as much as 120 yen and as little as 80. The costs of this volatility are hard to measure (partly because sophisticated financial markets allow businesses to hedge much of that risk), but they must be significant. Furthermore, a system that leaves monetary managers free to do good also leaves them free to be irresponsible—and, in some countries, they have been quick to take the opportunity" ("The Gold Bug Variations," Slate, Nov. 22, 1996, emphasis added throughout).



The current system also gives central banks the freedom to manipulate the value of their currency to promote price advantages for their country's goods and services in the international marketplace. The Swiss National Bank's intervention to devalue the Swiss franc is a classic example. But the SNB was following the example of Japan's central bank, which had intervened repeatedly over the summer on currency markets to stem the appreciation of the yen.



Responding to America's loose monetary policy, Brazil's finance minister Guido Mantega voiced his determination to prevent an appreciation of the real, Brazil's currency. Just one week prior to the SNB announcement, Brazil's national bank had lowered interest rates by half a percentage point in an attempt to reduce foreign capital inflow, which threatened to make the real—and Brazil's exports—more expensive.



Many in the United States see China as the world's biggest currency manipulator. A number of economists claim China artificially prevents the value of its yuan currency from rising, providing Chinese exporters an edge in global markets. As one of China's main trading partners, the United States is flooded with cheap products, contributing to the large U.S. trade imbalance.



On October 11, 2011, the U.S. Senate approved a measure requiring that if the Treasury Department determines that China improperly values its currency to gain economic advantage, the Treasury is to order the Commerce Department to impose new tariffs (import taxes) on various Chinese products. Yet while the yuan has appreciated by 30 percent against the dollar since 2005, the administration of U.S. President Barack Obama has refrained from labeling China a currency manipulator and does not support the Senate bill (which still has to gain approval from the House of Representatives before it would be sent to President Obama for approval or veto).



Prior to the Senate vote, China's central bank and its ministries of commerce and foreign affairs had accused U.S. lawmakers of using the currency exchange rate issue for political advantage and thereby exposing the global economy to the risk of a trade war.



The tension with China over its currency valuation mirrors comments made by currency strategist Maurice Pomery after the SNB announcement to support the Swiss franc: "The start of full-on currency wars has begun in earnest. After currency wars come trade wars,and as we see the exporting world pressured as the developed world contracts, tensions will rise" (Financial Times, Sept. 7, 2011).



Trade wars involve imposing trade barriers or raising tariffs on imports—taxes that make the imports more expensive so consumers are less likely to buy them. Unfortunately, this typically results in domestic producers raising prices due to less competition—meaning an overall rise in prices of goods.



Furthermore, as the U.S. dollar weakens, a major move likely to increase currency and trade tensions would be the use of another currency as the benchmark for pricing major commodities, especially crude oil.



After trade war comes hot war

The experience of history teaches that trade wars should never be taken lightly. Trade wars have often contributed to military conflict, and World War II was no exception. Gaining access to natural resources was a factor in both German and Japanese aggression and the resulting occupation of conquered territory.



The apostle James highlights this principle in his biblical epistle: "What causes wars, and what causes fightings among you? Is it not your passions that are at war in your members? You desire and do not have; so you kill. And you covet and cannot obtain; so you fight and wage war. You do not have, because you do not ask. You ask and do not receive, because you ask wrongly, to spend it on your passions" (James:4:1-3[1]From whence come wars and fightings among you? come they not hence, even of your lusts that war in your members?[2]Ye lust, and have not: ye kill, and desire to have, and cannot obtain: ye fight and war, yet ye have not, because ye ask not.[3]Ye ask, and receive not, because ye ask amiss, that ye may consume it upon your lusts., Revised Standard Version). James is addressing individuals, but what he writes about individuals also applies to entire nations.



Bible prophecy reveals a time of worldwide conflict prior to the return of Jesus Christ. Various prophecies reveal major world powers that will vie for world leadership. One power will be among the English-speaking peoples who have inherited the physical blessings promised to Abraham for his obedience. The leading nation of these modern-day Israelites is the United States, currently the world's leading military and economic power.



Another power center will be a revived Holy Roman Empire, located in its traditional area of influence in Europe. Revelation 18 describes this end-time system as an economic powerhouse with worldwide influence through its far-reaching system of trade and commerce. Yet another world power will be the "kings of the east" (Revelation:16:12), whose forces will cross the Euphrates River and enter the Middle East as part of the final struggle for the control of this region.



The Bible also foretells the existence of an end-time "king of the South" (ruler of a power south of Jerusalem that will likely include Egypt and other Islamic states) who will provoke the "king of the North" (ruler of the revived Holy Roman Empire) into taking military action and occupying portions of the Middle East. One possible contributing provocation would be the withholding of an economic asset like petroleum. And access to the Middle East's petroleum reserves would be important for the "kings of the east" as well.



A time of worldwide conflict lies ahead. Access to natural resources and international markets will again contribute to that end-time conflagration. The ongoing jockeying among central banks to position national currencies advantageously for international trade is a precursor to increasing international tension.



Our free booklets The Book of Revelation Unveiled and The Middle East in Bible Prophecy give more details about where events will eventually lead—to the harrowing crisis at the close of this age that will ultimately see the return of the King of Kings, Jesus Christ. Following the worst time in human history, He will at last lead all nations out of darkness and into peace, prosperity and true happiness.

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Thursday, November 17, 2011

A Nation Lost and Adrift

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632






article by Scott Ashley





America is simply proving again a great truth - that we ultimately reap what we have sown.



As I write this, the president of the United States is in the city where I live telling those in his audience to write their congressmen to urge them to pass a jobs bill to put millions of construction workers and teachers back to work. "It's all paid for!" he exclaims.



But his speech is remarkably short on specifics, and no wonder. The $447 billion package—a mixture of specialized tax breaks and new spending—would create an estimated 1.9 million jobs. Do the math. $447 billion divided by 1.9 million jobs equals $235,263 per job.



The bill is clearly designed to try to lower the nation's stubbornly high unemployment rate before next year's presidential elections, with the tax increases kicking in later so politicians won't be accused of raising taxes between now and election day.



And people wonder what's wrong with the country!



Last year the U.S. government added $1.5 trillion to finance its budget deficit. Few realize that it also added 3½ times that amount, $5.3 trillion, in new obligations for Social Security and Medicare. The total amount of financial promises not paid for is now more than $61 trillion—approximately $534,000 for every U.S. household.



In less than a generation, the United States has gone from the world's greatest lending nation to the biggest debtor nation in history. And the proposed solution for our financial turmoil is to spend more!



As Americans begin to see what their leaders apparently can't, confidence in government has plunged in alarming proportions. A new Gallup poll has shown that 82 percent of Americans, an all-time high, disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job.



Almost 60 percent have little or no confidence in the federal government's ability to solve problems. Just under half now believe that the federal government is a threat to their rights and freedoms.



The nation is distrustful, worried, lost and adrift.



Sadly, this should really come as no surprise. America is simply proving once again a great truth written almost 2,000 years ago—that we ultimately reap what we have sown (Galatians:6:7Be not deceived; God is not mocked: for whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also reap.).



Almost 3,500 years ago God told the ancient Israelites, newly freed from slavery in Egypt and about to be established as a nation, that they should be careful to live by the laws He had given them, including economic laws. If they obeyed, He promised that He would shower them with every good thing for their obedience.



He went on to detail great national blessings of material wealth, military power, health, agricultural productivity, excellent weather and so much abundance that they would "lend to many nations" and "not borrow"—all if they would just "heed the commandments of the Lord your God" (Deuteronomy:28:1-13[1]And it shall come to pass, if thou shalt hearken diligently unto the voice of the LORD thy God, to observe and to do all his commandments which I command thee this day, that the LORD thy God will set thee on high above all nations of the earth:[2]And all these blessings shall come on thee, and overtake thee, if thou shalt hearken unto the voice of the LORD thy God.[3]Blessed shalt thou be in the city, and blessed shalt thou be in the field.[4]Blessed shall be the fruit of thy body, and the fruit of thy ground, and the fruit of thy cattle, the increase of thy kine, and the flocks of thy sheep.[5]Blessed shall be thy basket and thy store.[6]Blessed shalt thou be when thou comest in, and blessed shalt thou be when thou goest out.[7]The LORD shall cause thine enemies that rise up against thee to be smitten before thy face: they shall come out against thee one way, and flee before thee seven ways.[8]The LORD shall command the blessing upon thee in thy storehouses, and in all that thou settest thine hand unto; and he shall bless thee in the land which the LORD thy God giveth thee.[9]The LORD shall establish thee an holy people unto himself, as he hath sworn unto thee, if thou shalt keep the commandments of the LORD thy God, and walk in his ways.[10]And all people of the earth shall see that thou art called by the name of the LORD; and they shall be afraid of thee.[11]And the LORD shall make thee plenteous in goods, in the fruit of thy body, and in the fruit of thy cattle, and in the fruit of thy ground, in the land which the LORD sware unto thy fathers to give thee.[12]The LORD shall open unto thee his good treasure, the heaven to give the rain unto thy land in his season, and to bless all the work of thine hand: and thou shalt lend unto many nations, and thou shalt not borrow.[13]And the LORD shall make thee the head, and not the tail; and thou shalt be above only, and thou shalt not be beneath; if that thou hearken unto the commandments of the LORD thy God, which I command thee this day, to observe and to do them:). They would sow well and reap abundant blessings.



And if they wouldn't obey and forgot their Creator? Then they would also reap what they sowed—problems that read remarkably like today's headlines, including curses on crops and herds, plagues of sickness, confusion, drought, military defeat, exploding debt and much more.



Few realize how these prophetic words apply equally well today. Few see how the world is shaping up for the fulfillment of major prophecies about the time before the return of the King of Kings. Read this issue to understand how our world is being transformed as foretold in the pages of your Bible many centuries ago

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Germany Conquering Europe?

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.


Germany Conquering Europe?




article by Tom Robinson





It’s not every day that you open a major British newspaper and read a headline like this: “Rise of the Fourth Reich, How Germany Is Using the Financial Crisis to Conquer Europe” (Simon Heffer, Daily Mail, Aug. 17, 2011). Many observers are pointing out the same thing—though typically in much less blunt terms.



Underwriting the bailouts of eurozone members, Germany is demanding austerity measures and increased control: “There was forceful talk of Eurozone countries being coerced into balancing their budgets and reducing their debt through what [German Chancellor Angela] Merkel and [French President Nicolas] Sarkozy called a ‘true European economic government movement’ made up of all the heads of state and led, initially, by the EU President Herman Van Rompuy. . . If such a plan succeeded it would make Europe effectively a German empire, with non-Eurozone countries such as Britain on the sidelines” (ibid.).



For eurozone members, “this would entail a loss of sovereignty not seen in those countries since many were under the jackboot of the Third Reich 70 years ago. For be in no doubt what fiscal union means: it is one economic policy, one taxation system, one social security system, one debt, one economy, one finance minister. And all of the above would be German” (ibid.).



Strong sentiments but, as Bible prophecy reveals, Europe is indeed in the process of becoming a new German-led empire. It will be the last in a series of prophesied revivals in Europe of the Roman Empire (see the March-April 2010 issue of The Good News to learn more). And this final revival will fall with the return of Christ. Stay tuned to events in Europe and the Middle East (Source: Daily Mail).

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Monday, November 14, 2011

"Will the Euro Collapse?"

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.








article by Good News Editor





Some great factor - quite possibly the economic crisis that is increasingly shaping up in Europe - will force the transformation of the European Union into a new, more tightly integrated and powerful alliance.







Source: Photos.comNewsweek recently reported: "Mayhem in the euro zone is a major contributor to the international financial crisis. The immediate cause may be reckless policies pursued by governments and banks, but the institutional structure of the European Monetary Union is the stubborn root of the problem" (John Eatwell, "Euro Vision," Sept. 5, 2011).



The magazine article went on to ask: "Can the Europeans build the necessary institutions to run an effective monetary union—institutions that took 100 years, a civil war and a Great Depression to build in the United States? Or will the euro collapse?"



Three days later the Financial Times published an article stating, "Angela Merkel, German chancellor, declared on Wednesday that 'the euro will not fail'" ("Merkel Promises Euro 'Will Not Fail,' Sept. 8, 2011). It continued with the Chancellor's explanation that "Germany would continue to demand drastic debt reduction from its eurozone partners in exchange for providing them with financial guarantees."



Yet Merkel faces a great deal of opposition from the greater German ruling intelligentsia. The International Herald Tribune observed that "the euro zone's debt crisis gets messier, and Germany, the euro's self-styled guardian, is playing a large role in magnifying the uncertainty.



"Despite repeated pledges by Chancellor Angela Merkel to keep Europe together, the cacophony of dissent within her country is becoming almost deafening. That is casting fresh doubt—justified or not—over the nation's commitment to the euro" ("Dissent Adds to Euro Zone Uncertainty in Germany," Sept. 12, 2011).



Financial commentator Thorold Barker of The Wall Street Journal asked, "What is the future of the euro if old hands from Germany's Bundesbank have lost faith in the institution charged with overseeing the currency?" ("Stark Signal for the Euro," Sept. 12, 2011).



One key person has resigned from the European Central Bank apparently because of the prospect of further decisions like the purchase of Italian and Spanish sovereign bonds. The Journal article concluded with this stark assessment: "Even when compared with weak currencies like the dollar, the euro's future as a store of value looks bleak."



Still, many seasoned observers consider scrapping the eurozone at this stage highly unlikely because they believe an economic catastrophe would ensue for Europe. One recalls the Germany of the early 1930s, when economic conditions were so bad that a wheelbarrow full of German marks would purchase just one pound of butter. So much has been invested in monetary and human resources that it's considered foolhardy to turn back because of the current crisis!



But catastrophic occurrences are clearly possible, if not likely, in this world of unstable and uncertain economics and politics. As Time magazine somewhat counterintuitively declared earlier this year: "Out of times of chaos and uncertainty can come a world order that is strong and vital. It happened in Europe centuries ago" (Parag Khanna, "For a New Renaissance," Jan. 31, 2011).



From the biblical point of view, this semi-prophetic declaration certainly has been accurate a number of times in centuries past. Parts of Europe are in economic travail now, but make no mistake: Europe is indeed in the process of becoming a great superpower empire, with Germany in the forefront.



Some great factor—quite possibly the economic crisis that is increasingly shaping up in Europe—will force the transformation of the European Union into a new, more tightly integrated and powerful alliance. It will be the last in a series of revivals of the old Roman Empire foretold in Bible prophecy. To understand more, request or download our free booklets The Book of Revelation Unveiled and Are We Living in the Time of the End?

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Friday, November 11, 2011

European and American Debt: No Easy Way Out

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.








article by Good News Editor





The huge debt problems in Europe and the Unites States are creating enormous problems on the world geopolitical scene.







Source: Photos.comFinancial Times columnist Gillian Tett declared in FT Magazine, a supplement to the weekend edition of the newspaper: "Another week, another bout of wailing about global debt woes. In Europe, there is panic about the finances of places such as Italy or Greece. In America, the US debt headache gets ever worse. And, on a more mundane level, millions of people (like me) have just returned from holiday feeling uneasy about their next credit card bill" ("Debt: It's Back to the Future," Sept. 10-11, 2011).



The lead editorial in the Sept. 12, 2011, International Herald Tribune took Europe to task over its management of the eurozone debt. It stated: "Europe's leaders believe they can stave off economic disaster without taking real action. They keep pretending that they will not have to ask taxpayers to help shore up fragile banks . . . and that Europe can continue to reap the benefits of monetary union without the shared responsibilities of greater fiscal union.



"No one else believes this—not credit markets, which have bid up interest rates on sovereign debt; not the International Monetary Fund, which has warned repeatedly that major banks appear undercapitalized; and not the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, which last week forecast negative growth in the coming quarter for Germany, France and Italy, the euro zone's three biggest economies.



"The immediate fear is that one or more major European banks may fail. Confidence is plummeting because they have large holdings of Greek, Spanish and Italian bonds. A major bank failure would damage America's economy as well—which helps explain the urgent pleas from Washington last week for Europe to come up with a strategy for recovery and growth" ("Europe's Fiscal Fantasies," emphasis added throughout).



Desmond Lachman, resident fellow of the American Enterprise Institute, wrote in The Wall Street Journal about the financial crisis in Europe possibly diminishing President Barack Obama's reelection chances. The U.S. financial system suffers from "massive exposure to the European banks . . . of over a trillion dollars—or roughly 45% of money markets' overall assets" ("The Euro's Problems Are America's Too," Sept. 9-11, 2011). Lachman fears Greece will default on its sovereign debt before year's end.



He also stated: "Judging by recent events, the euro zone's end-game may not be far off. Greece's economic and fiscal reforms appear to be seriously off track, and the debt crisis has now spread from Greece, Portugal and Ireland to Spain and Italy. These latter two countries are aptly described as being both too big to fail and too big to bail."



These huge debt problems are creating enormous problems on the world geopolitical scene. At this point no one can say with certainty how it will all shake out. But while an individual realistically can do nothing about these great problems, as an individual you can still apply time-tested biblical principles to your personal life.



If you are in debt, or just want to exercise better financial control over your economic affairs, request or download for our free booklet Managing Your Finances.



A companion booklet, Making Life Work, expands these biblical principles to subjects such as "Finding Success in Your Job and Career." These two publications work well together to bring the Bible into the problem-solving aspects of your life.

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Thursday, November 10, 2011

The World's Financial Turmoil: What Are the Root Causes?

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632.







article by Ewin Barnett





Nothing has dominated the news over the last few years like the economic crises still battering many nations. What, fundamentally, is the problem? Let's examine some financial basics from a biblical perspective.







Our desire to live beyond our individual and collective means has enticed us to engage in individual and collective coveting.



Source: iStockphotoRegardless of where they live, nearly everyone has taken a hit in the wallet due to rising prices or rising taxes, with more likely on the horizon—not to mention budget crises, staggering debt and unemployment problems that threaten more and more governments and citizens alike.



What's at the core of so many of these problems? Let's look at some basic realities about economics to gain a better understanding of the world's financial turmoil.



Economics is about behavior and choices

All economic interaction springs from human beings expressing wants and needs by deliberate action to improve their circumstances.



At the heart of economic decisions are our limitations in terms of resources and mortal time constraints. How we allocate and prioritize resources reflects our thoughts, appetites and values. Thus, economics is far more about our behavior and choices than it is about money.



Jesus said that out of the abundance of one's heart his mouth speaks (Luke:6:45A good man out of the good treasure of his heart bringeth forth that which is good; and an evil man out of the evil treasure of his heart bringeth forth that which is evil: for of the abundance of the heart his mouth speaketh.)—a person's words reflecting the values that motivate his thoughts. Similarly, we could say that out of the abundance of one's heart his wallet speaks, as people use money for what matters to them.



Respected economist Carl Menger opened his 1871 book Principles of Economics with the statement, "All things are subject to the law of cause and effect." This parallels Scripture, which is full of spiritual cause and effect, such as in the blessings and curses of Deuteronomy 28 and the fact that we reap what we sow (Galatians:6:7Be not deceived; God is not mocked: for whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also reap.). Our behavior and choices always have spiritual consequences. They often have economic consequences as well.



How is wealth created?

From man's beginnings, people have grown and made things. They harvested fish and game and raised domesticated animals. They extracted minerals from the earth. They created works of art. While people have many different preferences, the things we value make up our wealth. Some of our wealth is in the form of our home, our furnishings or other possessions. Our wealth also includes our job skills and ability to earn a living. Some forms of wealth are readily convertible into money; others are not.



A wonderful place to see many of these forms of wealth creation is in the praises for the resourceful and hardworking wife in Proverbs:31:10-31[10]Who can find a virtuous woman? for her price is far above rubies.[11]The heart of her husband doth safely trust in her, so that he shall have no need of spoil.[12]She will do him good and not evil all the days of her life.[13]She seeketh wool, and flax, and worketh willingly with her hands.[14]She is like the merchants' ships; she bringeth her food from afar.[15]She riseth also while it is yet night, and giveth meat to her household, and a portion to her maidens.[16]She considereth a field, and buyeth it: with the fruit of her hands she planteth a vineyard.[17]She girdeth her loins with strength, and strengtheneth her arms.[18]She perceiveth that her merchandise is good: her candle goeth not out by night.[19]She layeth her hands to the spindle, and her hands hold the distaff.[20]She stretcheth out her hand to the poor; yea, she reacheth forth her hands to the needy.[21]She is not afraid of the snow for her household: for all her household are clothed with scarlet.[22]She maketh herself coverings of tapestry; her clothing is silk and purple.[23]Her husband is known in the gates, when he sitteth among the elders of the land.[24]She maketh fine linen, and selleth it; and delivereth girdles unto the merchant.[25]Strength and honour are her clothing; and she shall rejoice in time to come.[26]She openeth her mouth with wisdom; and in her tongue is the law of kindness.[27]She looketh well to the ways of her household, and eateth not the bread of idleness.[28]Her children arise up, and call her blessed; her husband also, and he praiseth her.[29]Many daughters have done virtuously, but thou excellest them all.[30]Favour is deceitful, and beauty is vain: but a woman that feareth the LORD, she shall be praised.[31]Give her of the fruit of her hands; and let her own works praise her in the gates.. While this wife has many skills, carpentry is not listed. We may suppose that when she expanded her sewing room, she hired carpenters. Yet those carpenters might have chosen to hire a blacksmith for something made out of iron. People deciding their own occupation leads to "the division of labor," a vital factor in wealth creation.



Another factor in the creation of wealth is free exchange. In fact, free exchange is the only form of economic interaction through which the wealth of all parties is increased. Free exchange can be seen in many of the parables of Jesus, such as that of the pearl of great price (Matthew:13:45-46[45]Again, the kingdom of heaven is like unto a merchant man, seeking goodly pearls:[46]Who, when he had found one pearl of great price, went and sold all that he had, and bought it.).



The last main factor in wealth creation is savings. Wealth used to purchase new equipment or to start a new business can only come from what people have saved. The greater the savings, the more wealth is available for capital investments, resulting in higher worker productivity and new opportunities to create more wealth.



Of course, total wealth is increased only by activity that produces more wealth than it consumes. And we need to realize that wealth and money are not exactly the same. Indeed, confusion on that point is one of the causes of the present financial crisis.



That crisis illustrates that wealth can also be wrongly acquired by sinful means—through taking from others, whether by violence, coercion, fraud or dishonesty perpetrated by private individuals or government.



The role of God in wealth is primarily in blessings—by intervening to enable earning or wealth creation in harmony with His law and by giving those who love Him clarity of vision and understanding by which they can be skilled and prudent in the conduct of their personal affairs (see Exodus:35:31And he hath filled him with the spirit of God, in wisdom, in understanding, and in knowledge, and in all manner of workmanship;; 1 Kings:4:29And God gave Solomon wisdom and understanding exceeding much, and largeness of heart, even as the sand that is on the sea shore.; Psalm:111:10The fear of the LORD is the beginning of wisdom: a good understanding have all they that do his commandments: his praise endureth for ever.; Daniel:9:22And he informed me, and talked with me, and said, O Daniel, I am now come forth to give thee skill and understanding.). While God wants those who love him to prosper, He is focused on our spiritual wealth far more than our material wealth (Hebrews:11:24-26[24]By faith Moses, when he was come to years, refused to be called the son of Pharaoh's daughter;[25]Choosing rather to suffer affliction with the people of God, than to enjoy the pleasures of sin for a season;[26]Esteeming the reproach of Christ greater riches than the treasures in Egypt: for he had respect unto the recompence of the reward.).



God also decrees the rightful possession of wealth, placing such importance on private property that He directly protects it in two of the Ten Commandments—the Eighth, which forbids theft, and the Tenth, which forbids coveting (Exodus:20:15Thou shalt not steal., 17).



What is money?

The concept of money came about in part because it was impossible to divide a large item of value like an ox when it was bartered for something of far lesser value. Money must be easily divisible, durable and difficult to falsify. Money has three roles—a medium of exchanging value, a way of storing wealth and a unit of accounting. Again, money should not be confused with the wealth it represents.



God shows in Deuteronomy:14:23-26[23]And thou shalt eat before the LORD thy God, in the place which he shall choose to place his name there, the tithe of thy corn, of thy wine, and of thine oil, and the firstlings of thy herds and of thy flocks; that thou mayest learn to fear the LORD thy God always.[24]And if the way be too long for thee, so that thou art not able to carry it; or if the place be too far from thee, which the LORD thy God shall choose to set his name there, when the LORD thy God hath blessed thee:[25]Then shalt thou turn it into money, and bind up the money in thine hand, and shalt go unto the place which the LORD thy God shall choose:[26]And thou shalt bestow that money for whatsoever thy soul lusteth after, for oxen, or for sheep, or for wine, or for strong drink, or for whatsoever thy soul desireth: and thou shalt eat there before the LORD thy God, and thou shalt rejoice, thou, and thine household, that wealth in the form of grain or livestock can be exchanged for money, which can later be exchanged for food. Notice that the wealth is retained even though its form is changed. Today, it's common for people to keep only a fraction of their total wealth in the bank, and an even smaller fraction in the form of cash in their pocket.



When money is made of something that itself has value, such as gold or silver, the money has its own intrinsic value apart from government. Such money is acquired by exchanging value for value, and that value would be hard for any third party like government to influence or manipulate.



When the money is just a piece of paper, its value is initially determined by government decree. Of itself, a piece of paper money or a plastic card has almost no value. Electronic money doesn't even exist in physical form. For example, 10 bushels of grain is exchanged for $100 in electronic money in a bank account that exists only in a computer. There is no intrinsic value.



While money itself is subject to the law of supply and demand, because it's not used up it's not a commodity like oil or wheat. If the supply of money in circulation increases, its value declines, so it takes more of it to buy the same items. Paper money can be printed at will. The supply of electronic money can be changed with the click of a mouse button. But if gold or silver is used as money, the amount available for use cannot change rapidly or at a politician's whim.



Inflation is a form of theft

When government spends money newly created by mere decree, the wealth that money represents comes from all the existing holders of that currency by dilution of the value of their holdings. More dollars (or euros, or yen, or rubles) are chasing the same amount of goods and services. This results in rising wages and prices, an effect we call "inflation." It's actually a subtle form of theft, because the money is then worth less than it was before. And there are other consequences.



Since people place higher value on receiving something now instead of later, money has a time value. When combined with risk, this leads to the concept of interest. When people borrow money, what is really being borrowed is the wealth the money represents. The lender will only freely lend if he can expect to be repaid and to be compensated for the risk he took.



However, if over the life of the loan the money is inflated, then the borrower will be repaying with less valuable money. This works to the lender's disadvantage and the borrower's advantage. When borrowing stretches over decades, even a modest amount of inflation can destroy a substantial fraction of the wealth repaid to the lender. For example, at a 4 percent inflation rate over 20 years, $1 declines in value to 46 cents.



In Deuteronomy:25:13-15[13]Thou shalt not have in thy bag divers weights, a great and a small.[14]Thou shalt not have in thine house divers measures, a great and a small.[15]But thou shalt have a perfect and just weight, a perfect and just measure shalt thou have: that thy days may be lengthened in the land which the LORD thy God giveth thee. God instructed Israel to keep honest weights and measures. When government inflates the value of money by deliberate policy, this destroys the amount of wealth being paid in long-term contracts and loans. It is the same as having dishonest weights and measures—again, a form of stealing.



The largest amount of long-term debt is issued by governments. Government officials openly talk of printing new money with which to pay the interest on previously issued debt. But none of this money printing creates any new wealth or resources. Money printing can only induce a temporary mirage of prosperity that fades when the money printing stops.



What about prices?

Prices have two functions in an economy. They facilitate value-for-value exchange. We equate money with wealth because when we go shopping, we look at monetary prices, not prices in terms of hours worked or bushels of wheat or barrels of oil.



Prices also inform every other participant in the broader economy about the relative value of things, sending signals that help everyone adjust their own expectations and plans. They also help businesses set production levels.



Prices then allow us to easily make judgments about relative value. Should we work an extra hour or go to the movies? Is this pair of shoes a better value than that other pair?



When any third party intrudes in the economy, this distorts the signals about relative values of the myriad of goods and labor skills. These distortions cause faulty decisions and plans about possible investments. This is especially true when government intrudes in the monetary system and distorts the time value of money by manipulating interest rates. These decisions cause what prominent 20th-century economist Ludwig von Mises called malinvestment.



For example, in recent years when people thought housing was a good investment and home loans were easily available, many malinvested in a home that was bigger and more expensive than they otherwise would have purchased. In advancing its policy goal of increasing home ownership, governments also relaxed lending standards.



Many loans were granted to people with a poor credit record. This easy money allowed buyers to bid up home prices. Homebuilders saw this as a signal to build more new homes with upscale features. Building supply companies then built new factories. Investors saw these price signals as verification the economy was sound, and so on.



At some point, many realized that home-owners could not sustain the level of debt they had incurred and that many would default on their loans. This caused a cascade of signals through the U.S. economy to retract and contract. Home prices in some areas fell to almost half of what they were at the peak of malinvestment. We suffer from a boom-bust business cycle exactly because we have disconnected money from wealth.



In Luke:14:28For which of you, intending to build a tower, sitteth not down first, and counteth the cost, whether he have sufficient to finish it?, Jesus asked, "For which of you, intending to build a tower, does not sit down first and count the cost, whether he has enough to finish it."



Yet even when you can count the cost of a big project down to the penny, if the value of the penny changes over the life of the project, you cannot count the cost in terms of wealth. Worse, you cannot reliably anticipate if that new business or factory or apartment building will create more wealth than it consumes. This is how uncertainty and risk are introduced into private economic calculation by government manipulation of the value of money or as a result of its efforts to directly influence prices.



If erroneous price signals fool people into approving a project that diminishes their wealth, they may eventually have no wealth at all. Von Mises explained that an economy with significant levels of government intrusion was unsustainable—a pattern we have seen repeated around the world through the years.



Government intrusion at work

Governments come up with funds to spend by taxing, borrowing, or creating money. Spendable funds also come from expanding credit. This is done by allowing banks to lend out the same deposit multiple times. America's recent housing bubble was funded mainly by allowing government-related corporations, like Fannie Mae, to lend money based on corporate assets subject to dramatic market value change (in Fannie's case, home mortgages).



As of March 31, 2008, Fannie had borrowed $804 billion (short term) to buy more mortgages (mostly long term) while its stockholders provided it with only $39 billion in equity to serve as capital, a ratio of 20:1. At its peak, the ratio may have been 30:1 or worse. While such massive borrowing allows the rapid creation of new lendable funds as misleading market signals cause a malinvestment upswing, it doesn't take much of a decline on the eventual downswing to completely wipe out all corporate equity. And that is exactly what happened.



The Federal Reserve has swapped hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of low-quality bank debt and created money and money instruments like bonds for banks to hold as reserves. Bloomberg News reported on August 11, 2011, that in 2008 the Federal Reserve created a total of $1.2 trillion to lend to banks in addition to other government bailouts.



The various ways the European Central Bank is bailing out banks in Greece and other member countries are all a form of money printing—leading to dilution of the value of the euros held by others. Experts fear that this rescue program is too small for anticipated future bailouts. Economists who follow in the footsteps of Menger and Von Mises warn that old debt cannot be paid off by new debt—that any proposed solution that involves the issuing of more debt will eventually fail.



Any expansion of credit by a central bank results in the creation of new debt that carries an obligation to pay interest. When a government attempts to stimulate an economy by inflating or borrowing to finance projects and those projects fail to produce enough economic benefit to pay their costs, the public must pay the interest. This becomes a budgetary issue when revenues are insufficient to pay for ongoing needs like defense, upkeep of roads and the care of the truly indigent.



The root causes are ultimately spiritual

Without property rights, a free market, price information that allows calculation of profit, the ability to save and invest those savings, and honest money, a growing economy is impossible. And the roots of the present financial crisis are found where these points touch God's laws.



People as individuals cannot broadly destroy property rights or distort the value of money. But governments can. Yet governments often reflect the character and values—and demands—of the peoples they represent.



James:1:14But every man is tempted, when he is drawn away of his own lust, and enticed. warns that "each one is tempted when he is drawn away by his own desires and enticed." Here are the roots of our present financial crisis. Our desire to live beyond our individual and collective means—or to require that others bail us out if we run a failing business—has enticed us to engage in individual and collective coveting.



We think we can live at the expense of others, even if government must print or borrow money to pay for it. But no one has the authority to take from others what he can provide for himself. The sin of coveting ripens into the sin of theft.



It matters not that we sanitize and legalize this through a democracy. We are told we can all be more prosperous when we spread the wealth of others around. But this does not lead to increased prosperity—except for the few beneficiaries of government favoritism.



And so we must live with the consequences of our collective behavior and choices, consequences we would have avoided had we followed God's laws individually and collectively. As Galatians:6:7Be not deceived; God is not mocked: for whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also reap., cited up front, tells us, "Do not be deceived, God is not mocked; for whatever a man sows, that he will also reap."



As nations and individuals, we all need to repent and make sure we are following what God says when it comes to our economic choices and interaction—and humbly look to Him to deliver us from the mess we have gotten ourselves into.



To Learn More...

Would you like some sound financial guidance in dealing with your personal finances, especially in this time of financial uncertainty? We’ve prepared an important booklet, Managing Your Finances, to help you better handle your household finances and budget. Download or request your free copy today!

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Wednesday, November 9, 2011

America's Debt Debacle

From http://el-paso.ucg.org/  or call 1-888-886-8632

America's Debt Debacle


article by Mike Kelley





The recent debate over raising the U.S. debt limit showed a national leadership bitterly divided over the country's priorities and how to address its debt explosion. What are the larger implications of this debacle?







Source: Photos.comMany have seen the growing gridlock in the U.S. Congress between the conservative Republicans and liberal Democrats.



That gridlock played out in a deplorable way in late July during the debate to raise the U.S. federal debt ceiling from its present $14.3 trillion to $14.6 trillion or more. The historic tradition of compromise in Congress evaporated as conservatives and liberals refused to budge from their firm positions on efforts to trim billions in federal spending over the next decade.



Each side dug in its heels as the clock neared midnight on August 2, when the Federal government would supposedly shut down if a debt ceiling compromise was not reached.



With less than a day to go before the threatened shutdown, Congress managed to agree on a deal that would raise the debt ceiling by $1 trillion immediately and an additional $1.7 trillion in four months. The increase in the debt ceiling would be offset by budget cuts over the next 10 years, a condition demanded by Congressional Republicans, while leaving the larger picture of significant budget cuts to a Congressional "super committee" of six Democrats and six Republicans.



They have until late November to develop a plan acceptable to Congress, with the alternative being automatic cuts of $1.7 trillion over the next decade. Of that amount, roughly half would come from U.S. defense spending.



Ground rules for the super committee are few—everything is on the table, including cuts to entitlement programs such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. On the revenue side, the super committee could eliminate certain tax breaks to corporations and wealthy individuals, a matter Republicans refused to consider during the debt limit debate.



So just what does this mean to the United States?



What really got cut?

After all the hype and drama, it was soon apparent that this was not a big deal. Actual cuts to the 2012 Federal budget amounted to only $21-25 billion out of a budget of $3.7 trillion—a paltry 2⁄3 of 1 percent.



With the super committee idea approved, Congress was able to kick the tough choices down the road. It neither solved the debt crisis, which has ballooned to become a threat to the very viability of the U.S. government, nor helped the creation of jobs desperately needed in an American economy mired in three years of high unemployment.



However, avoiding major, immediate budget cuts probably saved a number of jobs for the time being. And some economists argued that an already feeble economic recovery could be threatened by large cuts to federal spending. The first half of 2011 marked the worst six-month economic performance since the Great Recession officially ended in June 2009.



Around the world, political and economic watchers labeled the deal "America's budget debacle." Congress demonstrated to the world a broken system that could not solve the reality of the debt crisis. To quote the famous movie line, they could not handle the truth.



But the largest of the international credit rating agencies, Standard & Poor's, did understand the truth that the United States will not address the harsh reality of its ballooning national debt. S&P promptly downgraded its rating on U.S. treasury securities from AAA to AA, the first bond rating downgrade in U.S. history. The news reverberated through the world's financial institutions, and the U.S. stock market plunged.



But, as some have pointed out, America has done this to itself!



Insignificant as the true budget cuts were, it must be pointed out that the deal was done, clearing the way for a rise in the U.S. debt ceiling from its current $14.3 trillion limit. Default was averted for the moment, which likely would have had catastrophic effects on U.S. borrowing. Future Treasury securities buyers would demand higher interest rates

to compensate for the perception that America, now the world's largest debtor, was no longer the world's safest debtor.



Stark realities no one wants to admit

So we come back to the question of what the deal means for the country.



Remember that figure noted above—only $21-25 billion cut from a $3.7 trillion budget. The compromise was only a speed bump on the road of runaway debt. The 2010 budget deficit of $1.29 trillion was the largest in U.S. history to that point, but the deficit has grown to an estimated $1.7 trillion for fiscal 2011.



Since August 2, there has been no slowdown in government borrowing. With the restraints off again, the debt quickly jumped to $14.7 trillion as of Sept. 9. CNN pointed out that the debt is forecast to burgeon to more than $23 trillion by fiscal 2021, and keep rising thereafter.



Interest on that debt will also grow. The United States was on the hook for more than $383 billion in interest on the debt in fiscal 2009, which grew to more than $413 billion in fiscal 2010, and is projected to be $434 billion for fiscal 2011.



At the current rate of increase, and with somewhat higher interest rates as a result of the credit rating downgrade, that annual interest could easily amount to more than $700 billion by 2019. Within a few years, then, the interest on the debt alone could equal or surpass the current U.S. defense budget of about $665 billion.



Burgeoning debt to force crippling choices

All this has major implications for America's future. It means saddling future generations of Americans with ongoing debt payments that have no end in sight. By the end of this decade the vast majority of federal tax revenue is projected to be eaten up by interest on the debt and payouts to Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security. Little would be left for vital national defense and hundreds of other areas of the federal government.



The debt burden also reduces the ability of the nation to make future investments in infrastructure, energy and other crucial physical needs. America achieved the prosperity of the post–World War II era in part because it invested in interstate highways, modern airports and a growing electrical grid. But this infrastructure is crumbling.



For more than a decade, the American Society of Civil Engineers has sounded the alarm on our deteriorating infrastructure. By its estimates, $2.2 trillion is needed to fix America's infrastructure. But any funds to address these urgent needs would have to be borrowed, only worsening the debt problem.



Also curtailed is the nation's ability to respond to the rash of natural disasters that have struck the United States this year. Like a plague, disasters such as Hurricane Irene and a destructive wave of tornados in April and May swept across the land, taking hundreds of lives and causing hundreds of billions of dollars in damages. September saw wildfires raging throughout Texas, parched by the worst drought in nearly a century. But the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is nearly broke, its cash reserves less than $800 million as of early September 2011.



A deeply troubled future outlook

A growing worldwide fear of American default has killed the confidence of millions of investors. The value of stock portfolios has plummeted, with new two-year lows in both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 stock averages.



Just when the economy desperately needs the natural stimulus of consumer spending, millions of consumers are closing their wallets, too fearful to spend and apprehensive about the future. The phrase "double-dip recession" has become all too frequently used of late.



Three years after the autumn 2008 mortgage meltdown, the housing market continues to limp along as builders refuse to start new homes in markets still flooded with foreclosures. Banks hold billions in cash but are leery of making new mortgage loans. With new home construction at depressed levels, the economic ripple effect has also reduced demand for new furniture and other household items.



Seniors of retirement age and baby boomers looking to retire soon are worried over the growing chorus of influential voices that has zeroed in on entitlement reform as part of the answer to America's burgeoning debt.



Social Security, enacted in the 1930s, is widely seen as a retirement plan by millions who have no other source of income once they stop working. It certainly can be argued that people who have worked all their lives and paid into the Social Security system should get the benefits they have paid for. But the consensus is growing that major adjustments to these programs are inevitable if the federal government is to take a serious stand on reducing the runaway debt.



In short, the debt deal averted disaster for the moment, but nothing more. Mohamed El-Erian, who heads the gigantic bond fund Pimco, gave the deal a grade between an incomplete and failure. "Other than eliminating default risk emanating from a self-manufactured crisis, there is nothing good about America's debt ceiling debacle," he wrote (quoted by Fareed Zakaria, "The Debt Deal's Failure," Time, Aug. 4, 2011).



No good choices—only bad and worse

Economists are noted for their disagreements over economic policy, but nearly all agree that the nation now faces a simple dilemma. Cut taxes, and many government employees and those who rely on government contracts could be out of work. Raise spending in another round of Keynesian-type economic stimulus, and the national debt balloons even more. But major cuts in federal outlays would increase hardship for the millions who rely on government aid programs, possibly exacerbate the unemployment problem and potentially drive the economy back into recession. The choices are painful.



But perhaps more troubling than these stark choices is the diminishing of America in the eyes of the world.



Fareed Zakaria, originally from India, served as the managing editor of Foreign Affairs and editor of Newsweek International before becoming editor-at-large for Time magazine and hosting a CNN program covering domestic and international affairs. In the column cited above, he pointed out the damage America suffered abroad in the recent circus that masqueraded as public policy:



"The world once looked at America with awe as we built the interstate highway system, created the best public education in the world, put a man on the moon and invested in the frontiers of knowledge. That is not how the world sees America today.



"People watched what happened over the past month and could not comprehend it. We have taken something that the world never doubted—the credibility of the U.S.—and put it into question. From now on, every time the debt ceiling has to be debated, the world will wonder, Will America honor its commitments? Will it keep its word? Will the system break down? We have taken our most precious resource, the trust of the world, and gambled with it."



"Is something fundamentally wrong with America?"

Across America and around the world, more and more voices echo Zakaria. In The Global Post, an international news blog, writer Phillip Balboni poses the question, "Is something fundamentally wrong with America?"



He goes on to say: "America has a deep political malaise. Seldom before in the nation's history have the two main parties been so bitterly divided and so unable to find common ground in the national interest. Average Americans are worried and deeply frustrated. Many are angry."



Your Bible, believe it or not, has something to say about America's economic condition. Take a few minutes and turn to Leviticus 26 and Deuteronomy 28, known as the "blessings and curses" chapters. Notice especially Deuteronomy:28:43-44[43]The stranger that is within thee shall get up above thee very high; and thou shalt come down very low.[44]He shall lend to thee, and thou shalt not lend to him: he shall be the head, and thou shalt be the tail. and ponder this fact: America has gone from the world's leading lending nation to the greatest debtor nation in human history, all in the space of less than 20 years. Do the verses here seem to read exactly like our situation today?



The warnings in these chapters describe a series of curses that read remarkably like our national headlines—curses of agricultural failures, disease, war, drought, military failure, mental illness, emotional distress, confusion, exploding debt and finally national collapse. It's a sobering and terrifying glimpse into the future if we do not wake up, repent of our many sins and turn to the God who made us and so abundantly blessed the nation for so many years.



History shows that the crushing weight of government debt can bring about national decline and downfall. The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, by Edward Gibbon, has for nearly two centuries been the classic work on the why Rome fell. Gibbon cited excessive taxation and mounting government debt as a major cause of the empire's collapse.



Beyond disaster, a bright future

The recent debt debacle in the U.S. Congress failed to solve the problem of America's growing debt and all it portends. But the good news is that there is hope. While America's leaders have created these problems and now have utterly failed to solve them, you have a choice in the decisions you make in your life.



Moreover, unbelievable as it may sound to those who read today's headlines, a new world economic order is coming. It's not one that people or nations must work to bring about—in fact, it would be impossible for human beings to bring it to pass.



This magazine has for years taught the true identity of America, Britain, Canada, Australia and other major English-speaking countries. This vital key in understanding just how things will worsen before finally working out positively in the end is revealed in our booklet The United States and Britain in Bible Prophecy. Request your free copy or download it from our website.



The good news is that a new economic world order is on its way, and it's like nothing you have imagined. Regardless of whether or not the United States gets a handle on its debt and resulting economic malaise, you can ensure your place in the exciting, prosperous world to come!



To Learn More...

Is the United States really mentioned in Bible prophecy? While Bible prophecy mentions several rather insignificant nations by name, are major nations left out? Or are they identified in ways that few people understand? You need to know! Be sure to request or download your free copy of The United States and Britain in Bible Prophecy today!

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